NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	8.0 [235]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +15.5%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	15.0 [183]		LVP	Andre Miller (CLE): -32.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	11	65%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.06,0	0.06	-0.07	-0.01	16	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.00	9	75%	0.06	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.05
Bryant Stith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	14	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tyrone Hill	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	6	37%	-0.07	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Andre Miller	-0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.33,-0.31,-0.32	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	13	34%	-0.16	6	-0.16	3	67%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.15	-0.01	15	53%	0.22	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	4	80%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	32	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.02
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	5	8%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	34.5	16.7	23.1	2.5	41.2	142.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.3%

ORL +6.5%

ORL +14.9%

ORL +1.8%

CLE -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	16.3	13.1	15.6	103.1	107.1	102.3
season	15.8	14.6		102.6	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.3	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	15.8	16.8	16.7	16.3
ORL	14.5	11.4	12.7	13.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	36	37	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.10	5	-9	14	18.6	15.0	3.59	13.1	13.0	0.09
Bryant Stith	12	12	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-10	16	18.1	16.1	1.99	12.4	13.1	-0.72
Chris Mihm	14	15	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-5	6	15.3	16.5	-1.23	11.2	13.4	-2.19
Lamond Murray	72	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-5	6	15.8	17.8	-1.95	13.5	11.7	1.81
Ricky Davis	71	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.38	-2	-2	0	16.1	16.9	-0.71	12.6	14.3	-1.77
Tyrone Hill	53	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	5	-14	17.3	15.2	2.18	13.5	12.6	0.83
Andre Miller	98	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.3	0.0	16.34	13.1	0.0	13.05
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	56	56	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.43	-7	3	-10	15.7	17.1	-1.41	13.6	12.4	1.17
Wesley Person	78	79	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.37	-11	7	-18	15.6	19.1	-3.53	12.8	13.9	-1.05

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	59	60	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-5	14	13.3	12.6	0.68	15.6	17.5	-1.86
Jaren Jackson	45	44	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-5	14	12.4	13.6	-1.12	17.1	15.7	1.33
Darrell Armstrong	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.46	6	-2	8	13.0	13.1	-0.04	16.1	17.1	-1.04
Tracy McGrady	92	93	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	-5	14	13.3	9.8	3.43	16.6	11.8	4.78
Pat Garrity	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	5	-6	13.3	11.9	1.38	16.2	16.9	-0.66
Patrick Ewing	26	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.13	4	0	4	11.8	13.5	-1.74	16.2	16.4	-0.25
Andrew DeClercq	7	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.05	-1	5	-6	16.4	12.8	3.64	20.7	15.9	4.81
Mike Miller	29	29	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	10	-16	14.6	12.4	2.18	17.2	16.0	1.19
Monty Williams	42	42	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.04	-4	8	-12	12.3	13.6	-1.26	16.4	16.3	0.08
Troy Hudson	38	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	9	-14	12.2	13.6	-1.46	15.3	17.0	-1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.11,0.26,0.11,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 71, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.38,0.46,0.65,0.96,1	92.3%
HOU 84, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.91,1	92.1%
CHI 97, NOH 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.12,0.27,0.38,0.29,0.77,0.99,1	91.6%