NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	5.6 [681]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +13.1%
Atlanta Hawks	100		Comeback	4.0 [451]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -27.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	9	78%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	77%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	21	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.13	-0.12	0.03	24	40%	-0.21	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	-0.00	-0.02	15	76%	0.22	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	11	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	17	49%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Hanno Mottola	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.05	15	29%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.8	23.0	14.8	24.3	2.3	56.5	144.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +38.1%

ATL +4.8%

ATL +4.2%

MIL -0.9%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.6	96.8	105.3	102.3
season	15.3	15.5		104.7	99.7
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	17.2	15.8	13.0	15.2
ATL	17.4	12.8	13.6	17.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	29	28	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.13	7	-15	22	13.7	15.8	-2.19	14.5	15.4	-0.95
Rafer Alston	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	11.0	15.4	-4.36	8.2	15.5	-7.32
Tim Thomas	42	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-6	4	14.5	15.7	-1.13	16.1	14.4	1.70
Mark Pope	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-7	6	14.6	15.5	-0.89	14.8	15.3	-0.44
Joel Przybilla	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.24	3	-11	14	15.0	15.4	-0.43	14.0	16.3	-2.21
Ervin Johnson	25	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	3	-14	17.1	14.5	2.58	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Sam Cassell	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-4	0	15.1	15.5	-0.43	16.1	12.3	3.75
Greg Anthony	74	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-7	6	15.3	14.7	0.60	15.2	14.9	0.24
Glenn Robinson	79	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	6	-20	15.5	13.7	1.72	15.4	13.8	1.61
Anthony Mason	74	73	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.17	-19	11	-30	15.8	13.1	2.68	15.0	15.5	-0.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	87	86	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	14.7	20.4	-5.72	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	0	8	15.1	15.8	-0.74	15.1	15.7	-0.54
Nazr Mohammed	69	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.19	12	-4	16	15.0	15.5	-0.55	15.3	14.7	0.62
Jason Terry	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	-1	10	14.7	17.0	-2.33	15.4	14.1	1.34
Toni Kukoc	52	52	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	3	2	15.7	14.4	1.27	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Ira Newble	47	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	5	-2	15.1	15.1	-0.02	15.7	14.7	0.99
Alan Henderson	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	12	-16	16.8	14.6	2.21	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Hanno Mottola	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	8	-8	15.8	15.1	0.74	15.7	15.1	0.54
Jacque Vaughn	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	13	-18	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.2	15.2	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.87,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.8%
POR 106, NOH 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	93.6%
TOR 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.1%