NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	8.1 [223]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +12.6%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	3.4 [286]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -27.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.01	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Vlade Divac	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	68%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Chucky Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	19	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	9	39%	-0.04	5	-0.13	5	100%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.01	10	65%	0.03	1	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	40%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	22	44%	-0.11	4	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.02	19	42%	-0.18	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.28
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	8	50%	-0.09	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.7	28.0	15.8	26.1	2.5	29.5	126.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +29.4%

SAC +23.6%

SAC +1.7%

CHH -4.7%

SAC +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHH	NBA	SAC	CHH	NBA
this game	15.1	15.4	15.6	97.9	91.6	102.3
season	14.2	15.9		106.6	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.5		101.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	13.3	15.2	17.5	15.1
CHH	14.5	15.5	14.8	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	79	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-5	15	15.3	13.9	1.41	14.6	20.0	-5.38
Vlade Divac	52	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-4	13	15.8	14.3	1.50	15.4	15.3	0.11
Chris Webber	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.31	5	0	5	14.8	18.6	-3.83	15.4	14.9	0.53
Bobby Jackson	47	46	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	-7	19	15.6	14.7	0.91	17.0	13.9	3.10
Hedo Turkoglu	54	57	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.9	16.1	-1.16
Mike Bibby	76	76	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.43	-5	10	-15	14.5	17.7	-3.15	14.9	17.2	-2.25
Scot Pollard	45	44	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	9	-13	14.6	15.6	-0.99	15.7	15.0	0.69
Chucky Brown	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	5	-5	18.4	14.9	3.47	10.8	15.6	-4.81
Gerald Wallace	26	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	10	-15	15.2	15.1	0.16	17.3	14.7	2.64

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	23	21	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-5	5	15.0	15.5	-0.53	19.3	13.9	5.37
Lee Nailon	22	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.4	-0.35	18.7	14.1	4.63
Robert Traylor	31	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.7	15.2	0.57	15.1	15.1	0.02
George Lynch	12	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	22.7	14.3	8.46	15.6	15.0	0.58
P.J. Brown	83	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-5	5	14.3	22.7	-8.46	15.0	15.6	-0.58
Jamaal Magloire	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.7	-0.57	15.1	15.1	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	73	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.43	0	-5	5	15.4	15.1	0.35	14.1	18.7	-4.63
Baron Davis	89	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-3	1	15.5	13.3	2.16	14.9	18.4	-3.47
David Wesley	78	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	3	-11	15.3	15.5	-0.21	14.2	19.6	-5.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.31,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.36,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.72,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.14,0.28,0	91.5%
NJN 95, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.27,0	90.9%
BOS 87, BKN 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.42,0	90.7%