NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	8.3 [202]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +30.8%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	5.5 [268]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -18.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	8	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	13	59%	0.12	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2,0.2,0.11,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	19	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15	0.05	-0.16	0.04	16	61%	-0.08	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.26	0.01	13	57%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	86%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0,0,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	0.00	23	53%	0.08	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.09
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	14	54%	-0.00	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.06
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	19	43%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	26.0	15.5	26.4	2.3	28.6	126.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -12.7%

CHH +15.1%

CHH +32.6%

CHH +13.6%

CHH +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	14.7	16.4	15.6	118.3	122.8	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		104.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	16.0		101.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	13.2	16.1	16.0	14.7
CHH	14.5	18.9	15.9	16.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	37	38	0.52	-1.02	1.54	-0.01	18	-21	39	14.4	14.9	-0.54	18.0	15.3	2.66
Greg Anthony	26	25	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.16	9	-12	21	14.9	14.7	0.27	19.0	15.5	3.50
Darvin Ham	36	38	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.05	14	-17	31	15.4	14.3	1.16	18.5	15.0	3.51
Joel Przybilla	13	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-5	7	15.0	14.7	0.31	18.6	16.0	2.61
Ervin Johnson	64	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	8	-19	15.0	14.1	0.86	15.9	17.5	-1.57
Ray Allen	74	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.33	-13	10	-23	14.8	14.4	0.46	16.0	17.9	-1.87
Glenn Robinson	77	74	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.53	-10	7	-17	14.5	15.9	-1.38	15.8	19.0	-3.22
Anthony Mason	71	69	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.50	-12	9	-21	14.4	15.8	-1.36	15.5	19.2	-3.68
Sam Cassell	67	67	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.57	-12	9	-21	14.7	14.9	-0.27	15.5	19.0	-3.50

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	65	66	1.10	-0.60	1.70	0.43	23	-20	43	15.7	18.2	-2.51	15.2	13.6	1.55
Baron Davis	82	84	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.42	11	-8	19	15.6	22.8	-7.17	15.0	12.4	2.53
David Wesley	85	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.37	7	-4	11	16.7	13.0	3.69	14.8	14.2	0.60
Jamal Mashburn	87	88	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.38	6	-3	9	16.0	23.4	-7.39	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Elden Campbell	66	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-7	17	16.1	17.2	-1.09	15.2	13.5	1.66
Jamaal Magloire	25	23	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	9	-15	17.8	15.9	1.96	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Lee Nailon	9	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	8	-13	21.2	15.9	5.33	15.4	14.7	0.75
Stacey Augmon	18	17	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.08	-13	16	-29	17.8	16.1	1.70	11.9	15.4	-3.41
George Lynch	23	22	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.01	-18	21	-39	18.1	15.8	2.29	13.3	15.2	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.16,0.26,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.43,0.38,0.15,0.17,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.03,1	90.8%
BOS 91, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.47,0.28,0.16,0.26,1	90.2%
SAC 108, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.15,0.27,1	88.6%