NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	117		Excitement	4.6 [884]		MVP	Raef LaFrentz (DAL): +20.8%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	2.0 [883]		LVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): -13.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.02	19	79%	0.21	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	24	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	17	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.03
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nick Van Exel	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	10	35%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.09	10	86%	0.05	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dean Oliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	65%	0.05	5	-0.09	7	43%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	16	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	11	73%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	7	65%	0.00	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	17	38%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.6	29.9	15.7	22.6	2.4	29.5	126.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +29.7%

GSW -2.3%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +17.5%

DAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.6	119.4	103.1	102.3
season	14.8	14.7		109.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.0	15.7	13.3	16.0	15.3
GSW	12.8	13.7	16.7	13.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	57	58	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.05	23	-6	29	15.0	15.7	-0.68	16.2	11.5	4.69
Michael Finley	89	91	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.16	23	-6	29	15.2	15.7	-0.44	14.6	9.8	4.73
Johnny Newman	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	9	-1	14.1	16.0	-1.94	16.1	13.1	2.98
Steve Nash	53	53	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.19	21	-4	25	15.8	14.7	1.07	14.8	13.6	1.20
Dirk Nowitzki	70	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	4	9	15.3	15.2	0.07	14.4	14.0	0.42
Nick Van Exel	51	52	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	16	-15	15.5	15.0	0.43	14.0	14.6	-0.54
Adrian Griffin	23	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	14	-11	15.0	15.3	-0.29	14.0	14.4	-0.42
Avery Johnson	6	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	14.3	15.3	-0.99	9.7	14.5	-4.71
Shawn Bradley	11	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	17	-17	14.2	15.4	-1.22	8.2	14.9	-6.66
Greg Buckner	50	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.15	5	12	-7	16.2	14.3	1.91	12.2	16.3	-4.09
Eduardo Najera	30	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.11	-4	21	-25	15.5	15.2	0.29	14.3	14.3	-0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	12	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	23	-29	15.0	15.3	-0.30	8.8	14.8	-6.05

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Oliver	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.0	14.4	-5.44	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Adonal Foyle	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.26	5	-22	27	17.5	13.3	4.24	14.0	15.6	-1.57
Larry Hughes	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-11	5	15.9	13.9	2.09	14.5	15.4	-0.94
Chris Mills	42	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-11	5	15.6	13.3	2.34	14.4	15.9	-1.51
Bob Sura	55	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-10	3	15.1	13.2	1.82	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Gilbert Arenas	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-13	9	13.3	15.7	-2.37	16.7	13.0	3.72
Troy Murphy	58	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-5	-7	13.3	15.7	-2.42	15.9	14.4	1.42
Antawn Jamison	84	86	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	-8	-1	13.5	19.3	-5.82	15.4	14.5	0.87
Erick Dampier	61	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	2	-21	13.8	15.1	-1.25	15.5	14.9	0.56
Jason Richardson	82	84	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.20	-27	10	-37	14.5	13.1	1.42	15.1	16.4	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 122, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIL 102, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
MEM 103, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.6%