NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	8.9 [124]		MVP	Darvin Ham (MIL): +30.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	4.2 [78]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -22.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.09	0.01	11	82%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.07	0.12	0.01	11	81%	0.33	4	-0.16	4	100%	0.03
Tyrone Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.12	0.00	9	57%	0.13	0	0.00	10	80%	0.06
Jumaine Jones	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	9	56%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.05,0.08	0.12	-0.04	-0.01	18	67%	0.24	1	-0.16	10	90%	0.13
Lamond Murray	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	14	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.03	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.03	0.27	-0.00	5	92%	0.50	3	-0.20	2	0%	-0.07
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.18	-0.01	17	59%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.23,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	20	68%	0.21	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	-0.00	11	62%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.07	-0.13	0.02	15	38%	-0.20	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	24.4	14.7	22.5	1.8	35.2	1.5	18.6	143.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -6.4%

CLE +48.2%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +5.3%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.6	15.5	15.6	116.2	110.1	102.3
season	15.8	15.3		102.6	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.5		105.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.8	16.2	17.4	19.6	12.5	16.6
MIL	14.8	18.1	15.3	15.4	12.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	60	59	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-6	18	15.9	17.8	-1.94	15.5	15.4	0.04
Tyrone Hill	80	80	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-1	8	16.6	16.8	-0.18	14.7	18.6	-3.91
Wesley Person	82	83	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-6	18	16.5	17.2	-0.64	15.0	17.8	-2.79
Andre Miller	99	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	16.6	0.0	16.65	15.5	0.0	15.47
Jumaine Jones	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	3	0	16.6	16.9	-0.32	15.7	15.0	0.68
Lamond Murray	54	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	3	0	17.6	15.6	2.00	15.4	15.6	-0.15
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	23	27	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.06	-3	9	-12	18.0	16.2	1.71	18.0	14.5	3.42
Michael Doleac	28	26	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	16	-26	16.1	16.9	-0.75	16.2	15.2	0.97

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	26	25	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.05	10	-16	26	14.9	15.7	-0.80	19.6	15.6	3.95
Michael Redd	33	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-14	22	14.8	15.8	-1.08	16.5	16.7	-0.16
Darvin Ham	30	31	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.14	5	-11	16	13.3	16.4	-3.12	15.9	17.0	-1.04
Anthony Mason	63	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-4	2	16.0	14.6	1.31	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Greg Anthony	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	0	-6	17.6	14.5	3.11	17.5	16.3	1.22
Glenn Robinson	79	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-7	8	14.5	19.5	-5.04	16.6	16.6	-0.00
Sam Cassell	75	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	1	-8	14.9	17.1	-2.18	16.6	16.8	-0.26
Tim Thomas	63	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.28	-9	3	-12	15.4	15.6	-0.26	15.9	18.0	-2.05
Ervin Johnson	29	30	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.08	-16	10	-26	19.3	13.9	5.38	16.4	16.8	-0.40
Ray Allen	66	64	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.22	-14	8	-22	15.8	14.8	1.08	16.7	16.5	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 103, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.13,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.15,0	89.1%
DAL 96, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.23,0.02,0	88.9%
BOS 102, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	88.5%