NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	83		Excitement	7.3 [357]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +16.1%
Charlotte Hornets	81		Comeback	3.4 [266]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -35.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.03,0.14	0.01	0.14	0.01	18	56%	0.16	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.22
Damon Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	4	90%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	15	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	11	66%	0.06	3	-0.14	7	100%	0.03
Chucky Atkins	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.09	-0.01	4	0%	-0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	16	61%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.06
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	7	67%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	3	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.06
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.33	-0.33	-0.23	-0.10	-0.00	17	25%	-0.19	3	-0.14	6	50%	-0.03
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.36	-0.36	-0.06	-0.26	0.03	15	47%	-0.11	2	-0.25	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.6	32.6	15.7	25.8	2.7	33.5	135.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -2.6%

DET +36.9%

DET +2.0%

DET +11.7%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHH	NBA	DET	CHH	NBA
this game	17.1	17.4	15.6	98.8	97.6	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		101.9	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.1	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.5	15.5	14.6	21.1	17.1
CHH	17.6	16.5	19.7	15.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	73	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.46	4	-2	6	17.2	16.4	0.86	17.6	16.0	1.60
Michael Curry	33	31	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	1	0	15.8	18.0	-2.17	18.8	16.5	2.27
Jon Barry	33	34	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	-3	8	18.1	16.5	1.62	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Jerry Stackhouse	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.41	-1	3	-4	16.6	18.6	-2.02	17.2	18.0	-0.82
Chucky Atkins	41	42	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	3	-4	15.9	18.2	-2.31	17.5	17.3	0.14
Ben Wallace	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.48	-6	8	-14	16.8	18.8	-1.97	17.4	17.3	0.12
Damon Jones	43	41	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	-1	4	18.2	15.9	2.31	17.3	17.5	-0.14
Zeljko Rebraca	16	18	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-3	8	16.7	17.2	-0.52	18.6	17.1	1.49
Corliss Williamson	46	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.19	0	2	-2	18.5	15.5	2.98	16.8	18.2	-1.40

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	35	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-3	4	17.7	17.1	0.57	17.9	16.5	1.45
Stacey Augmon	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.17	1	-3	4	16.4	17.6	-1.25	20.2	16.4	3.88
Robert Traylor	5	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	5	-12	17.6	17.4	0.23	13.8	17.3	-3.52
Elden Campbell	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-7	12	17.8	16.7	1.09	17.2	16.9	0.27
Lee Nailon	17	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	4	-10	16.2	17.7	-1.45	18.5	16.8	1.71
Jamal Mashburn	72	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.46	5	-7	12	17.7	15.5	2.12	16.7	19.3	-2.60
George Lynch	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	0	-2	17.3	17.5	-0.18	16.0	18.5	-2.56
Jamaal Magloire	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	5	-12	16.7	17.8	-1.09	16.9	17.2	-0.27
P.J. Brown	67	68	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.42	2	-4	6	17.7	15.9	1.79	16.7	18.9	-2.26
Baron Davis	74	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	0	-2	17.2	19.2	-2.06	17.4	14.9	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.33,0.61,0.71,0.57,0.29,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 80, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0	90.7%
MIN 108, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.27,0	90.5%
PHX 84, POR 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.22,0.33,0.62,0.64,0.78,0.27,0	90.5%