NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	5.9 [640]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +16.5%
San Antonio Spurs	88		Comeback	3.3 [208]		LVP	Steven Smith (SAS): -11.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	21	68%	0.26	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	89%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	5	54%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.04	12	50%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	6	73%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.01	4	150%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	20	54%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	4	67%	0.04	5	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	11	54%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	57%	0.03	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	8	22%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	25.2	17.4	27.4	2.3	29.8	129.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.0%

SAS -5.6%

MIN +13.8%

MIN +14.0%

SAS -4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.5	16.6	15.6	120.4	95.7	102.3
season	15.0	15.8		106.7	104.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		98.0	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.3	15.3	13.3	16.3	14.5
SAS	15.0	18.2	18.6	15.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	82	78	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.16	25	-1	26	14.1	17.7	-3.64	16.8	15.7	1.08
Rasho Nesterovic	78	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	7	10	14.1	16.6	-2.48	17.2	13.9	3.26
William Avery	33	33	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	6	12	16.5	13.4	3.15	15.4	17.3	-1.93
Wally Szczerbiak	61	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	16	-8	14.2	15.1	-0.93	17.2	15.4	1.78
Joe Smith	38	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	12	0	14.6	14.5	0.11	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Sam Mitchell	5	4	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	19	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.12	14.5	16.7	-2.23
Anthony Peeler	55	53	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.13	10	14	-4	15.4	13.3	2.07	16.6	16.7	-0.15
Chauncey Billups	60	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	18	-12	13.4	16.5	-3.15	17.3	15.4	1.93
Felipe Lopez	5	6	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	18	-12	10.2	14.8	-4.56	6.8	17.3	-10.48
Marc Jackson	39	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.25	9	15	-6	15.4	13.9	1.54	16.5	16.8	-0.29
Loren Woods	9	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.14	4	20	-16	17.2	14.2	3.00	17.0	16.6	0.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	30	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-29	34	17.3	16.3	0.99	14.9	14.3	0.57
Danny Ferry	31	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.18	7	-31	38	16.6	16.6	0.02	16.3	13.6	2.69
Stephen Jackson	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-17	10	9.0	17.0	-7.98	18.7	14.3	4.42
Cherokee Parks	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-17	10	9.0	17.0	-7.98	18.7	14.3	4.42
Mark Bryant	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-17	10	9.0	17.0	-7.98	18.7	14.3	4.42
Terry Porter	42	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-26	28	17.5	15.9	1.60	14.9	14.2	0.73
Antonio Daniels	62	63	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-23	22	17.6	14.6	3.01	14.7	14.1	0.57
Charles Smith	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.31	-23	-1	-22	14.6	17.6	-3.01	14.1	14.7	-0.57
Tony Parker	50	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.38	-26	2	-28	15.9	17.5	-1.60	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Tim Duncan	74	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	-8	-8	16.8	15.8	1.06	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Steven Smith	56	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.17	-26	2	-28	17.2	15.7	1.45	13.5	16.1	-2.64
David Robinson	73	73	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.00	-21	-3	-18	17.0	15.4	1.59	13.7	17.4	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.05,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.24,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	92.9%
POR 92, SEA 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.36,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.13,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0	91.8%
PHX 89, SEA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.73,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0,0.01,0	91.7%