NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	78		Excitement	6.9 [436]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +7.1%
Memphis Grizzlies	72		Comeback	12.7 [113]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -41.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	8	56%	0.15	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.02	19	47%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	90%	0.06	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.02	-0.03	18	36%	0.05	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	8	55%	-0.01	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	8	22%	-0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Antonis Fotsis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	11	39%	-0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	3	29%	-0.03	4	-0.12	1	0%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.33,-0.41	-0.41	-0.11	-0.30	0.00	12	54%	-0.08	6	-0.33	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	28.1	15.5	23.2	1.8	31.2	127.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +24.2%

PHX +19.2%

PHX +5.8%

PHX +4.1%

MEM -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	15.0	17.2	15.6	86.7	80.9	102.3
season	15.1	15.7		101.0	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.6	15.0	15.7	12.5	15.0
MEM	14.7	18.6	16.4	19.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	48	46	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.26	26	-20	46	13.0	17.2	-4.12	18.0	16.4	1.51
Bo Outlaw	52	50	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.29	20	-14	34	13.4	17.2	-3.79	17.8	16.5	1.22
Stephon Marbury	70	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	3	0	15.5	13.2	2.21	16.6	19.2	-2.57
Tom Gugliotta	58	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	7	-8	15.8	13.4	2.47	15.8	19.5	-3.73
Shawn Marion	84	83	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	3	0	15.0	13.8	1.21	17.2	17.8	-0.65
John Wallace	31	33	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.20	10	-4	14	13.4	15.8	-2.41	19.6	15.8	3.74
Dan Majerle	6	6	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.00	3	3	0	13.8	15.0	-1.21	17.8	17.2	0.65
Milt Palacio	20	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	3	0	13.2	15.5	-2.21	19.2	16.6	2.57
Jake Tsakalidis	39	40	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	0.04	-17	23	-40	17.1	13.4	3.68	16.6	17.8	-1.18
Anfernee Hardaway	42	43	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	0.07	-20	26	-46	17.2	13.0	4.12	16.4	18.0	-1.51

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	41	41	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.19	3	-9	12	17.1	17.3	-0.24	15.2	14.8	0.37
Brevin Knight	48	47	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.11	10	-16	26	16.5	18.0	-1.53	16.6	13.2	3.45
Antonis Fotsis	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-9	12	16.3	17.4	-1.15	16.8	14.6	2.24
Tony Massenburg	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.07	-6	0	-6	15.6	17.5	-1.96	13.4	15.3	-1.88
Will Solomon	67	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	17.4	16.8	0.60	14.5	16.4	-1.91
Lorenzen Wright	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.45	-2	-4	2	17.0	17.9	-0.83	15.5	13.4	2.12
Shane Battier	88	88	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	2	-10	17.3	14.0	3.26	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Pau Gasol	55	56	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	1	-8	18.0	16.0	1.98	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Elliot Perry	49	50	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.19	-19	13	-32	17.9	16.3	1.59	13.5	16.8	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.76,0.81,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.78,0.77,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 120, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.8,0.9,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.26,0	90.5%
SAS 89, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.77,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.68,0.15,0	90.4%
CLE 125, NYK 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.67,0.08,0	90.2%