NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	7.1 [405]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): +12.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	3.1 [270]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -13.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.11	-0.00	0.11	-0.00	17	51%	0.14	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.04	0.02	22	49%	0.02	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.07
Mitch Richmond	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	69%	0.08	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	10	32%	-0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	8	72%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	17	47%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.05
Vonteego Cummings	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.23,-0.18,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	0.00	29	44%	0.03	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.08
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	8	45%	-0.05	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.0	31.1	17.6	27.0	2.8	41.2	150.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -8.3%

PHI +22.2%

PHI +35.3%

LAL -2.7%

PHI +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	15.4	15.6	92.6	98.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		106.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		98.2	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	16.3	16.4	14.4	15.3
PHI	14.8	15.0	15.5	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mitch Richmond	4	3	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-6	6	20.7	15.0	5.74	21.3	15.2	6.15
Lindsey Hunter	49	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.12	-6	0	-6	16.3	14.1	2.28	14.1	16.7	-2.53
Samaki Walker	48	47	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-5	4	15.9	14.6	1.35	16.1	14.6	1.49
Rick Fox	67	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	1	-8	14.7	16.7	-2.08	14.8	16.8	-1.96
Brian Shaw	10	10	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-1	-4	16.0	15.2	0.83	12.3	15.7	-3.45
Devean George	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-7	8	16.7	14.7	2.08	16.8	14.8	1.96
Derek Fisher	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.45	4	-10	14	14.4	16.4	-2.01	16.2	14.3	1.89
Kobe Bryant	73	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.5	17.7	-3.17	15.8	14.0	1.78
Shaquille O'Neal	79	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	3	-12	15.3	15.1	0.15	14.9	17.8	-2.88
Robert Horry	60	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.46	-2	-4	2	14.9	15.8	-0.84	15.4	15.3	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	88	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	15.8	8.8	7.00	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Raja Bell	25	23	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	-4	14	14.2	15.8	-1.67	16.8	14.8	2.02
Derrick Coleman	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.26	5	1	4	16.4	12.7	3.67	15.5	14.6	0.89
Dikembe Mutombo	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-4	14	15.2	16.5	-1.37	15.6	13.5	2.12
Eric Snow	68	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-6	18	14.9	16.7	-1.76	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Matt Harpring	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	2	2	15.2	15.7	-0.46	15.9	14.2	1.76
Corie Blount	17	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	15.6	15.3	0.25	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Speedy Claxton	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.5	-0.31	15.4	15.1	0.32
Vonteego Cummings	1	2	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	7	-8	1.0	15.5	-14.54	6.0	15.5	-9.46
Derrick McKey	21	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.22	-12	18	-30	15.4	15.4	0.06	11.9	16.3	-4.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.58,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.95,0.98,0.92,1	92.8%
WAS 86, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.67,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.81,0.93,0.86,0.84,1	91.9%
MIA 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	91.8%