NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	111		Excitement	11.2 [24]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +15.9%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	8.5 [119]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -32.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.16	0.01	0.17	0.02	19	57%	0.22	3	-0.07	9	100%	0.10
Oscar Torres	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	92%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	13	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collier	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	21	58%	0.15	6	-0.28	10	80%	0.09
Kelvin Cato	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,-0.15,-0.15	0.00	-0.15	0.01	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	5	36%	-0.15	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	57%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.15,0.02	0.02	0.14	-0.13	-0.01	25	65%	0.37	3	-0.35	2	100%	0.02
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.12,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	18	56%	0.11	3	-0.10	3	67%	0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	8	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	12	36%	-0.07	4	-0.26	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	34.2	3.3	19.7	2.6	27.1	2.5	33.2	1.8	16.9	141.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH -22.6%

HOU +31.7%

HOU +17.2%

HOU +15.2%

HOU +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHH	NBA	HOU	CHH	NBA
this game	17.1	16.0	15.6	115.6	108.3	102.3
season	16.8	15.9		100.9	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	18.4	16.7	16.5	18.9	13.2	17.1
CHH	15.2	16.8	16.2	17.1	14.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	76	77	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.38	16	-9	25	16.9	17.8	-0.91	16.8	13.2	3.60
Moochie Norris	50	50	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-10	27	16.9	17.3	-0.42	16.7	15.3	1.42
Steve Francis	87	86	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-4	15	17.0	17.7	-0.64	16.0	16.8	-0.85
Eddie Griffin	68	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	1	5	17.6	15.8	1.83	17.0	13.6	3.44
Cuttino Mobley	85	85	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.36	-5	12	-17	16.9	18.6	-1.75	15.6	19.4	-3.75
Jason Collier	1	1	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	7	-7	2.0	17.2	-15.24	6.0	16.1	-10.15
Oscar Torres	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.19	3	4	-1	17.4	17.0	0.47	16.0	16.1	-0.06
Kevin Willis	19	18	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	16	-25	18.6	16.7	1.93	13.6	16.6	-3.06
Terence Morris	57	58	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	18	-29	17.6	16.3	1.31	15.4	17.0	-1.54

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	9	10	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	15.2	16.1	-0.90	19.4	16.8	2.59
Bryce Drew	23	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	-1	-5	16.2	16.0	0.17	17.1	17.1	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	51	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-11	15	15.0	17.2	-2.26	17.5	16.5	0.99
Elden Campbell	42	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	16.8	15.5	1.32	17.0	17.2	-0.19
P.J. Brown	85	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	3	-13	16.4	13.6	2.72	16.6	19.6	-3.00
Baron Davis	77	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-9	11	15.8	17.2	-1.46	17.2	16.7	0.50
Lee Nailon	83	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.4	0.76	17.1	16.7	0.38
Stacey Augmon	18	19	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	2	-11	15.8	16.1	-0.32	16.5	17.2	-0.69
David Wesley	92	92	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	3	-13	16.2	11.2	5.00	17.0	19.0	-2.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.59,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.86,0.71,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.41,0.33,0.6,0.66,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.68,0.42,0	89.2%
LAC 123, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.66,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.28,0	88.5%
HOU 111, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.78,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.02,0	88.3%