NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	6.1 [588]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): +10.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	97		Comeback	2.9 [693]		LVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): -16.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	6	54%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04	0.10	-0.03	0.03	24	63%	0.13	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	125%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	23	47%	-0.00	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	9	30%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	62%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	27	48%	-0.03	4	-0.09	17	82%	0.01
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	14	21%	-0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	28.0	15.0	25.2	2.3	36.6	130.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -6.3%

PHI +1.9%

PHI +42.1%

PHI +13.7%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	PHI	NBA	NYK	PHI	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.6	96.7	106.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		98.2	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	16.3	17.4	15.5	15.4
PHI	16.2	18.9	14.5	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	29	29	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-12	16	15.8	15.2	0.58	18.0	15.3	2.71
Shandon Anderson	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.6	15.2	0.41	16.7	15.8	0.87
Charlie Ward	34	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.08	-3	-5	2	15.7	15.1	0.60	17.8	15.2	2.57
Marcus Camby	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-2	-4	15.1	16.1	-1.01	15.9	16.9	-1.06
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-7	6	15.3	15.6	-0.29	16.1	16.1	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	24	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-4	0	15.3	15.4	-0.09	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Mark Jackson	59	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	14.9	16.2	-1.33	15.2	17.8	-2.57
Kurt Thomas	58	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	2	-12	15.7	14.7	0.99	15.7	16.9	-1.22
Allan Houston	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	2	-12	15.3	15.6	-0.34	15.9	17.2	-1.30

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	67	70	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.23	21	-13	34	16.1	16.0	0.11	16.0	13.2	2.86
Dikembe Mutombo	80	79	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-12	32	15.7	19.1	-3.38	15.8	12.8	2.93
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.31	7	1	6	15.7	21.7	-6.06	15.0	18.6	-3.58
Aaron McKie	57	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	-2	12	14.9	18.1	-3.19	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Matt Harpring	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	16.2	16.0	0.14	15.4	15.2	0.21
Samuel Dalembert	3	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	11	-14	21.0	16.0	5.05	13.5	15.4	-1.94
Derrick McKey	26	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	17.3	15.6	1.66	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Corie Blount	52	53	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	19	-30	17.4	14.4	3.08	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Speedy Claxton	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	13	-18	16.9	15.8	1.09	14.5	15.7	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.52,0.66,0.83,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 69, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.97,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 104, DEN 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.8%
LAC 88, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%