NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	9.0 [113]		MVP	Eric Williams (BOS): +37.6%
Boston Celtics	101		Comeback	2.9 [591]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -20.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.16	-0.01	0.17	0.01	14	49%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.07
Shandon Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	3	100%	0.18	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	12	65%	0.12	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.04,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.08	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.20	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,-0.07,-0.2	0.02	-0.23	-0.00	18	67%	0.22	6	-0.42	6	100%	0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.38	0.38	0.02	0.35	-0.00	6	64%	0.41	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	74%	0.12	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	23	58%	0.21	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	15	44%	0.06	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.22,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	10	59%	0.03	3	-0.22	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	27.4	15.7	24.5	2.7	40.2	135.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -1.0%

BOS +14.2%

BOS +10.7%

BOS +17.8%

BOS +8.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	BOS	NBA	NYK	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.0	15.6	103.1	106.3	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	13.9	15.6	14.7	15.0
BOS	14.7	15.5	16.4	13.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	36	37	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-5	9	16.2	14.3	1.87	15.2	14.8	0.39
Charlie Ward	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	3	-7	15.5	14.9	0.58	12.2	15.8	-3.64
Othella Harrington	28	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	8	-17	15.8	14.7	1.13	17.4	14.1	3.23
Marcus Camby	84	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.51	7	-8	15	14.7	17.2	-2.55	14.8	16.6	-1.87
Mark Jackson	76	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.47	3	-4	7	14.9	15.5	-0.58	15.8	12.2	3.64
Kurt Thomas	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.41	0	-1	1	15.1	14.6	0.50	14.5	17.9	-3.46
Latrell Sprewell	75	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.48	-1	0	-1	14.9	15.4	-0.44	15.2	14.1	1.16
Allan Houston	83	80	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.47	-5	4	-9	14.6	17.5	-2.90	14.6	16.9	-2.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	73	76	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-9	19	14.7	16.0	-1.27	14.7	16.0	-1.31
Antoine Walker	89	89	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-4	9	15.5	7.5	7.98	15.3	11.6	3.70
Paul Pierce	91	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.39	7	-6	13	14.4	27.2	-12.81	15.1	13.0	2.13
Tony Battie	61	64	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-5	11	15.0	15.0	0.01	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Eric Williams	58	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.46	-1	2	-3	15.1	14.8	0.28	15.1	14.8	0.34
Walter McCarty	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	5	-9	13.7	15.2	-1.56	14.3	15.2	-0.85
Vitaly Potapenko	34	33	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	6	-11	15.0	15.0	-0.01	15.6	14.7	0.89
Milt Palacio	22	22	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	10	-19	16.0	14.7	1.27	15.5	14.9	0.62
Joe Johnson	32	33	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.07	-4	5	-9	15.5	14.7	0.83	14.3	15.4	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.72,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	90.7%
CLE 98, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.9,0.77,0.91,1	90.6%
POR 99, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.93,0.89,0.78,1,1	90.6%