NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	102		Excitement	5.8 [642]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +20.2%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	6.6 [571]		LVP	Hedo Turkoglu (SAC): -13.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	58%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.06	8	89%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	11	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Ricky Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	7	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Andre Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	13	57%	0.03	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.07	0.06	21	72%	0.22	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	27	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	11	55%	-0.07
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	73%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	4	17%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	27.8	15.7	24.3	1.6	31.3	125.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +4.9%

SAC +18.6%

CLE -5.5%

SAC +28.5%

SAC +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.8	15.6	108.5	118.5	102.3
season	15.8	14.2		102.6	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	15.2	19.4	15.9	16.2
SAC	14.2	14.8	14.9	15.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	67	67	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-15	23	15.6	17.6	-1.96	15.3	13.4	1.97
Chris Mihm	29	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.9	16.3	-0.38	14.6	14.9	-0.22
Brian Skinner	78	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	17.0	12.0	5.01	14.8	14.8	-0.04
Bimbo Coles	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-3	-1	16.6	16.0	0.56	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Andre Miller	72	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-4	1	16.0	16.6	-0.56	15.1	13.9	1.21
Ricky Davis	50	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-12	17	15.2	17.2	-1.96	15.1	14.5	0.64
Lamond Murray	55	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.44	1	-8	9	15.2	17.5	-2.23	14.8	14.8	0.05
Wesley Person	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	5	-17	16.3	15.9	0.39	14.8	14.8	-0.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	34	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.12	-19	12	-31	18.0	15.0	3.03	13.5	15.6	-2.10

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	44	45	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.32	14	-7	21	14.5	15.0	-0.52	15.9	16.4	-0.56
Chris Webber	81	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.22	17	-10	27	14.7	15.7	-1.06	16.5	14.2	2.28
Scot Pollard	38	39	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.24	15	-8	23	13.8	15.5	-1.62	17.2	15.4	1.79
Peja Stojakovic	83	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	1	5	15.1	11.7	3.47	16.3	14.6	1.68
Hedo Turkoglu	47	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.47	-2	9	-11	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.0	17.5	-2.56
Gerald Wallace	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	9	-11	13.8	14.9	-1.10	15.8	16.2	-0.36
Vlade Divac	44	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	7	-7	15.1	14.5	0.61	16.6	15.8	0.81
Doug Christie	62	62	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	13	-19	15.1	14.1	1.03	15.6	17.2	-1.51
Mike Bibby	48	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	14	-21	15.0	14.5	0.52	16.4	15.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 72, POR 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.32,0.46,0.57,0.67,0.83,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
NYK 92, CHA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
NYK 93, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.18,0.2,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.7%