NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	9.1 [97]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +25.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	112		Comeback	12.8 [186]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -39.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Griffin	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.09	-0.03	13	63%	0.31	1	-0.12	1	100%	0.03
Oscar Torres	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	3	133%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	81%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Terence Morris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.06,0	0.07	-0.07	0.01	15	64%	0.06	1	-0.06	9	56%	-0.05
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.02	8	12%	-0.22	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.44,-0.35,-0.39,-0.39	-0.29	-0.13	-0.02	20	30%	-0.19	7	-0.20	4	75%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0.18,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.07	0.22	0.03	42	59%	0.46	6	-0.21	14	100%	0.14
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	9	80%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	41%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	9	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	1.8	22.3	15.5	26.0	1.8	35.0	1.6	17.0	143.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -6.0%

PHI +30.5%

PHI +17.8%

PHI +13.0%

HOU -5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	17.1	14.8	15.6	107.1	112.0	102.3
season	16.8	15.9		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.2		98.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.0	19.2	15.0	22.0	14.0	17.1
PHI	15.7	16.8	13.3	14.0	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oscar Torres	30	29	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-16	26	19.1	16.3	2.78	13.9	15.2	-1.38
Kelvin Cato	44	46	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.19	-2	-4	2	16.0	18.0	-2.04	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Walt Williams	31	33	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.10	0	-6	6	14.1	18.5	-4.42	15.6	14.4	1.19
Terence Morris	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-2	-2	18.9	16.7	2.22	15.3	14.7	0.53
Steve Francis	95	96	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	17.0	19.2	-2.21	14.7	19.0	-4.33
Kenny Thomas	79	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.40	-4	-2	-2	16.5	19.8	-3.34	15.5	12.4	3.11
Moochie Norris	51	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	-2	-2	19.2	15.0	4.22	15.2	14.4	0.80
Eddie Griffin	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.46	-4	-2	-2	18.2	15.1	3.12	14.5	15.4	-0.81
Cuttino Mobley	83	85	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.31	-16	10	-26	16.4	20.9	-4.47	14.9	14.7	0.20

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	61	63	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-6	18	14.1	16.1	-1.99	17.8	16.0	1.78
Matt Harpring	75	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-5	16	14.5	15.9	-1.44	17.0	17.6	-0.60
Allen Iverson	95	94	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	-2	10	14.5	20.8	-6.27	17.1	18.6	-1.55
Dikembe Mutombo	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	0	6	14.9	14.6	0.33	16.6	18.4	-1.87
Eric Snow	67	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.40	-1	7	-8	16.3	11.8	4.56	16.2	18.9	-2.76
Speedy Claxton	53	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	4	-2	14.7	15.0	-0.30	18.8	15.3	3.53
Derrick McKey	8	9	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	4	-2	15.0	14.8	0.17	18.2	17.0	1.20
Corie Blount	28	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.1	15.1	-1.07	18.9	16.5	2.43
Derrick Coleman	44	44	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	14	-22	15.4	14.4	0.98	15.7	18.3	-2.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.28,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.79,0.9,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 89, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.36,0.68,0.74,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.86,0.96,1	89.4%
MIA 94, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.72,1	88.8%
NJN 88, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.74,0.84,0.78,1,1	88.5%