inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 108 Excitement6.0 [623] MVPKevin Garnett (MIN): +18.1%
Washington Wizards 100 Comeback1.1 [822] LVPMichael Jordan (WAS): -19.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.180,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.07-0.012166%0.273-0.085100%0.04
Chauncey Billups0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.130.18-0.010.041874%0.151-0.02367%-0.01
Anthony Peeler0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.05-0.01944%0.0600.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.02-0.01638%0.0100.001100%0.01
Maurice Evans0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Wally Szczerbiak-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.011650%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Felipe Lopez-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.00250%-0.001-0.024100%0.03
Rasho Nesterovic-0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.001139%-0.031-0.031100%0.01
Loren Woods-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00350%-0.023-0.0820%-0.05

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jahidi White0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.040.040.09-0.010.041076%0.061-0.03944%-0.08
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.001100%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.00150%0.0000.002100%0.02
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.031448%0.042-0.053100%0.03
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.011030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.01940%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Popeye Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.07-0.05-0.01835%-0.081-0.03475%-0.00
Michael Jordan0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.05-0.090.053052%-0.065-0.147100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.424.916.430.42.426.6128.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +57.1%
WAS -5.2%
WAS -1.9%
WAS -0.8%
MIN +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINWASNBAMINWASNBA
this game14.218.015.6118.7113.6102.3
season15.016.5106.7102.2
opponent15.316.1103.9103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN12.214.313.118.114.2
WAS18.617.018.517.918.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups72710.490.010.480.2010-21214.811.92.8917.221.5-4.29
Wally Szczerbiak80790.430.070.350.2562414.512.42.1218.117.70.38
Anthony Peeler49480.360.140.220.2444015.113.21.9819.116.72.45
Rasho Nesterovic57580.340.160.180.1953216.111.24.8817.918.1-0.19
Kevin Garnett72680.310.190.130.2626-414.114.9-0.8417.818.8-1.02
Sam Mitchell41410.280.220.070.0580813.015.2-2.2016.819.1-2.35
Dean Garrett19180.190.31-0.110.0262411.914.8-2.9517.818.1-0.22
Loren Woods37330.050.45-0.410.0508-812.815.2-2.4818.717.61.05
Felipe Lopez27230.030.47-0.430.06-19-1012.914.8-1.9620.117.32.81
Maurice Evans110.010.49-0.470.0108-80.014.4-14.3925.017.97.07

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney3941-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-6418.417.70.6713.514.8-1.35
Etan Thomas55-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-8819.217.91.2611.014.4-3.42
Tyrone Nesby3031-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-6418.417.80.5912.615.1-2.50
Jahidi White6262-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-7617.619.0-1.4614.214.3-0.07
Kwame Brown1820-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-3-216.918.3-1.3412.314.8-2.41
Popeye Jones6162-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.15-4-4018.217.50.7114.613.41.15
Brendan Haywood2528-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-7-1-618.817.71.1014.814.00.80
Tyronn Lue6063-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.371-91018.516.91.6914.813.01.83
Michael Jordan7576-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.28-7-1-617.719.8-2.0614.712.12.59
Hubert Davis6567-0.540.04-0.59-0.16-135-1817.619.3-1.6914.713.01.73


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 109, POR 1030.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.01,094.7%
MIN 95, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.5%
MIA 91, NYK 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,094.5%