NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	8.6 [159]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +37.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	102		Comeback	1.3 [920]		LVP	Ricky Davis (CLE): -13.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32	0.23	0.10	0.02	12	100%	0.38	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.3,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	17	68%	0.23	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,0.08	0.02	0.07	0.01	16	56%	0.17	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	38%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	10	30%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	6	31%	-0.07	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.37	0.37	-0.01	0.36	-0.02	22	50%	0.40	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.19,0.12	0.12	0.18	-0.05	0.01	14	84%	0.15	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.35,0.21,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.02	-0.03	17	71%	0.27	4	-0.19	11	73%	-0.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.3	1.7	27.2	15.7	25.1	1.7	34.7	140.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +22.1%

SEA +11.3%

CLE -0.5%

SEA +15.8%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SEA	NBA	CLE	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	15.9	15.6	113.6	120.0	102.3
season	15.8	16.0		102.6	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		103.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.9	16.2	16.4	18.8	17.3
SEA	13.4	18.0	15.6	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Skinner	11	11	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-10	18	15.6	17.6	-1.94	17.5	15.7	1.84
Ricky Davis	36	36	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-7	12	18.2	16.7	1.42	17.9	14.5	3.33
Bryant Stith	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	0	-2	15.7	17.5	-1.75	17.9	15.8	2.09
Bimbo Coles	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	3	-8	17.9	17.1	0.82	16.2	15.8	0.31
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	44	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.01	-8	6	-14	18.0	16.7	1.30	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Chris Mihm	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.43	5	-7	12	16.7	18.2	-1.53	16.4	15.4	1.04
Wesley Person	73	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	0	-2	17.8	14.9	2.97	15.3	18.4	-3.01
Andre Miller	65	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-3	4	17.3	17.4	-0.14	15.9	16.0	-0.14
Jumaine Jones	70	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	5	-12	17.5	16.7	0.76	15.5	17.7	-2.21
Lamond Murray	60	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	3	-8	16.4	19.3	-2.92	15.2	17.5	-2.30

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	70	73	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-9	20	15.0	20.1	-5.09	17.5	16.3	1.20
Vin Baker	67	68	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-9	20	15.1	19.1	-3.95	17.7	16.0	1.72
Brent Barry	66	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.44	5	-3	8	15.4	17.7	-2.24	17.3	17.4	-0.16
Desmond Mason	52	54	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.51	-1	3	-4	15.9	16.0	-0.15	16.4	18.9	-2.48
Gary Payton	78	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	-2	6	15.5	20.6	-5.05	17.4	16.9	0.51
Art Long	37	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.06	0	2	-2	15.9	16.0	-0.14	18.2	16.7	1.48
Vladimir Radmanovic	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	9	-16	19.1	14.8	4.37	18.2	17.0	1.27
Predrag Drobnjak	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	8	-14	22.7	15.2	7.52	13.4	17.7	-4.35
Earl Watson	24	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	9	-16	18.5	14.9	3.62	16.8	17.5	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.75,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.57,0.84,1	91.7%
SEA 88, NOH 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.76,0.9,1	91.6%
SAC 97, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.74,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.76,0.83,1	91.5%