NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Horace Grant (ORL): +12.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	91		Comeback	1.2 [351]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -17.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	15	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	23	46%	-0.06	2	-0.07	10	70%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.03	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	7	68%	0.04	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	11	35%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.08	0.02	28	45%	-0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	30.0	18.8	28.3	2.7	29.2	136.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +57.5%

PHI -13.7%

PHI -16.3%

ORL +20.1%

ORL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.3	15.6	110.9	98.9	102.3
season	14.6	15.9		104.6	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.8		98.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.2	15.1	16.4	19.6	16.0
PHI	16.2	15.5	15.5	14.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Garrity	73	74	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	0	11	15.7	16.9	-1.24	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Horace Grant	66	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	1	9	16.3	15.1	1.19	15.8	14.0	1.81
Tracy McGrady	92	92	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	16.0	0.0	15.97	15.3	0.0	15.34
Darrell Armstrong	55	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-2	15	16.5	15.1	1.44	15.4	15.2	0.19
Mike Miller	80	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	4	3	15.9	16.6	-0.71	15.1	16.9	-1.82
Troy Hudson	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	6	-1	15.5	16.3	-0.88	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Jud Buechler	12	12	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	7	-3	16.6	15.9	0.71	16.9	15.1	1.82
Monty Williams	29	28	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	14	-17	16.1	15.9	0.25	15.4	15.3	0.03
Don Reid	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	14.5	16.2	-1.73	15.9	15.2	0.61

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	7	7	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-16	21	12.1	15.6	-3.46	13.6	16.2	-2.59
Matt Harpring	59	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-4	-3	15.3	15.4	-0.04	15.9	16.0	-0.05
Speedy Claxton	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	0	-11	15.5	15.3	0.21	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Dikembe Mutombo	72	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-8	5	15.4	15.1	0.30	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Allen Iverson	84	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-7	3	15.0	18.7	-3.74	15.6	18.9	-3.29
Eric Snow	78	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-2	-7	15.0	17.1	-2.13	16.4	13.2	3.22
Aaron McKie	60	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	3	-17	15.8	14.4	1.38	16.4	15.2	1.13
Derrick Coleman	78	79	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	1	-13	15.8	12.6	3.26	16.1	15.1	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.23,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.4,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 109, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.02,0	93.8%
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	93.7%
MIA 90, WAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0	93.6%