NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	118		Excitement	7.1 [409]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +20.2%
Phoenix Suns	112		Comeback	1.2 [692]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -20.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.00	0.16	-0.04	27	55%	0.26	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.07
Peja Stojakovic	0.17	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.02	16	74%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.15	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.02	11	83%	0.19	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	8	65%	0.18	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	11	55%	0.13	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	5	21%	-0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	9	61%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	27	58%	0.20	6	-0.14	6	67%	-0.03
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	16	51%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	52%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.08	-0.03	19	33%	-0.16	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	23.3	14.7	26.0	1.8	33.0	125.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +50.3%

SAC +18.1%

PHX -13.9%

PHX -10.8%

SAC +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.0	13.7	15.6	113.5	107.7	102.3
season	14.2	15.1		106.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.1	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.8	13.8	14.2	15.2	14.0
PHX	13.9	14.4	14.6	11.9	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	89	87	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-9	24	14.2	13.1	1.04	14.0	12.1	1.86
Chris Webber	96	95	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-6	18	14.2	11.7	2.46	13.8	12.3	1.47
Peja Stojakovic	87	89	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-4	14	13.8	15.2	-1.45	13.7	13.6	0.09
Scot Pollard	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-8	22	13.8	14.4	-0.52	14.5	12.1	2.39
Mike Bibby	79	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.30	-1	7	-8	14.2	13.6	0.55	13.7	13.5	0.23
Hedo Turkoglu	53	51	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.41	-12	18	-30	14.6	13.4	1.27	12.5	14.8	-2.21
Bobby Jackson	41	42	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	10	-14	13.2	14.6	-1.40	12.9	14.2	-1.33
Lawrence Funderburke	7	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	13.0	14.1	-1.09	12.5	13.8	-1.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	39	39	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.24	20	-26	46	13.3	13.9	-0.63	14.9	13.5	1.49
John Wallace	19	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.14	2	-8	10	11.3	14.2	-2.95	14.1	14.0	0.10
Alton Ford	17	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-4	2	16.6	13.1	3.56	12.6	14.3	-1.65
Daniel Santiago	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	15.8	13.6	2.23	16.0	13.9	2.08
Tony Delk	58	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-11	16	12.4	15.2	-2.81	14.6	13.3	1.24
Shawn Marion	93	91	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-11	16	13.5	15.4	-1.89	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Tom Gugliotta	14	14	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.22	-16	10	-26	15.4	13.4	1.95	11.9	14.4	-2.50
Rodney Rogers	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.40	5	-11	16	12.8	14.6	-1.78	15.2	12.6	2.63
Dan Majerle	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.54	7	-13	20	13.4	14.2	-0.75	14.2	13.6	0.57
Anfernee Hardaway	23	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.23	-20	14	-34	15.9	13.0	2.82	12.3	14.5	-2.26
Jake Voskuhl	36	35	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.20	-23	17	-40	15.8	12.5	3.30	12.1	15.0	-2.83
Stephon Marbury	90	91	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	5	-16	13.7	13.6	0.12	14.0	14.1	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.13,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.09,0.04,0	92.9%
PHI 108, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	92.5%
LAL 95, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.01,0,0	91.9%