NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	13.0 [7]		MVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): +30.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	103		Comeback	9.7 [97]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -71.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.07,0.31	0.02	0.26	-0.03	24	51%	0.31	0	0.00	9	56%	-0.12
Eric Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.07,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	5	60%	0.13	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.14
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Kedrick Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	5	64%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.10	-0.18	0.00	11	29%	-0.26	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,0.08,0.14,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.10	-0.30	-0.01	32	45%	-0.21	2	-0.17	14	79%	0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.04	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.07
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22	-0.22	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	15	44%	-0.12	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.22	-0.02	6	33%	-0.19	2	-0.12	6	33%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.4	-0.40	-0.12	-0.29	-0.02	23	43%	-0.27	3	-0.13	8	75%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.27,-0.5,-0.46,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.71	-0.71	-0.13	-0.58	0.00	16	51%	-0.41	5	-0.31	15	80%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	31.3	16.3	26.5	2.4	38.2	1.6	21.1	162.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +74.2%

LAC -0.6%

LAC -71.2%

BOS +50.1%

LAC -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	13.8	16.8	15.6	101.0	99.0	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		100.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.6	13.8	15.4	12.8	10.6	13.8
LAC	14.2	17.5	15.9	20.0	16.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	51	53	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.40	20	-18	38	13.9	13.7	0.19	17.3	16.1	1.20
Tony Battie	71	73	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.58	10	-8	18	13.2	15.1	-1.90	16.6	17.2	-0.59
Kenny Anderson	87	88	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.54	11	-9	20	13.7	14.7	-1.05	17.1	14.9	2.22
Antoine Walker	99	98	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	13.8	14.4	-0.60	16.4	22.2	-5.75
Paul Pierce	96	95	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	-2	6	14.0	12.0	1.98	16.9	14.7	2.28
Eric Williams	44	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	17	-32	13.0	14.4	-1.43	16.7	16.8	-0.01
Kedrick Brown	15	13	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	7	-12	14.0	13.8	0.20	15.9	16.9	-0.95
Joe Johnson	24	22	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.08	-10	12	-22	15.2	13.4	1.74	15.1	17.2	-2.10
Vitaly Potapenko	33	31	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	-0.14	-8	10	-18	15.1	13.2	1.90	17.2	16.6	0.59

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	77	79	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.12	13	-15	28	16.8	16.7	0.11	14.4	12.0	2.35
Sean Rooks	10	11	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.13	-4	2	-6	16.3	16.8	-0.50	12.9	13.9	-1.03
Earl Boykins	4	4	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	8	-18	21.7	16.5	5.20	9.2	14.0	-4.76
Darius Miles	100	100	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-10	18	16.7	17.5	-0.78	13.9	10.7	3.20
Corey Maggette	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	4	-10	16.6	17.0	-0.40	14.8	12.7	2.15
Jeff McInnis	101	101	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.52	7	-9	16	16.6	22.0	-5.41	13.9	10.3	3.60
Elton Brand	95	94	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.48	-1	-1	0	16.6	17.9	-1.25	13.5	17.1	-3.62
Eric Piatkowski	17	15	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.32	-7	5	-12	17.3	16.6	0.65	11.6	14.2	-2.60
Quentin Richardson	62	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.34	-10	8	-18	17.0	16.5	0.50	13.3	14.5	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.66,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.58,0	87.1%
HOU 93, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.38,0.54,0.78,0.73,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	86.5%
MIL 110, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.62,0.79,0.84,0.92,0	86.2%