NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	7.5 [319]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +22.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	86		Comeback	1.1 [471]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -28.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	61%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Morris Peterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Eric Montross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	12	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Tracy Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	17	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	13	47%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	8	94%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	11	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	0.01	-0.00	8	17%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.13,-0.25,-0.27,-0.33,-0.37,-0.29	-0.29	-0.14	-0.14	0.01	24	46%	-0.10	5	-0.18	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.7	28.7	16.0	31.5	1.8	36.2	139.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -4.9%

TOR +19.4%

TOR +8.2%

TOR +22.9%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAL	NBA	TOR	LAL	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.6	95.7	94.5	102.3
season	16.2	15.3		100.3	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	13.9	15.7	18.2	15.7
LAL	17.3	14.4	17.0	13.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	85	83	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	15.9	14.2	1.63	15.4	17.2	-1.85
Keon Clark	78	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	1	1	15.6	16.5	-0.94	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Antonio Davis	79	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	1	1	16.2	13.3	2.89	15.4	16.3	-0.86
Morris Peterson	50	50	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-7	17	15.2	16.4	-1.17	16.4	14.6	1.77
Jerome Williams	45	44	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	7	-11	15.9	15.6	0.33	14.8	16.3	-1.44
Vince Carter	62	62	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	-1	5	15.0	17.3	-2.32	16.8	12.9	3.91
Tracy Murray	32	30	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-2	7	15.4	15.9	-0.46	14.9	15.9	-0.99
Dell Curry	26	25	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.36	-7	10	-17	17.8	14.9	2.92	13.7	16.3	-2.59
Carlos Arroyo	8	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	8	-13	14.2	15.9	-1.63	17.2	15.4	1.85

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	36	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-7	11	15.7	15.5	0.27	15.8	15.7	0.11
Jelani McCoy	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-2	1	16.1	15.5	0.61	13.9	16.1	-2.16
Brian Shaw	0	1	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-3	3	0.0	15.6	-15.56	0.0	15.9	-15.91
Devean George	57	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.48	14	-17	31	14.5	17.3	-2.72	16.9	13.7	3.21
Rick Fox	51	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-1	-1	16.3	14.7	1.58	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Robert Horry	60	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-11	19	15.3	16.1	-0.86	16.8	13.7	3.04
Slava Medvedenko	30	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	11	-25	16.2	15.2	0.95	14.2	16.5	-2.32
Samaki Walker	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	2	-7	15.5	15.9	-0.46	16.3	13.1	3.24
Kobe Bryant	78	79	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.32	-10	7	-17	15.8	14.4	1.37	15.1	19.6	-4.59
Derek Fisher	53	54	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	6	-15	15.5	15.6	-0.08	15.4	16.2	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 83, NYK 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.1,0.17,0.15,0	93.7%
MIA 91, PHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.02,0.01,0	92.9%
MIL 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.02,0	92.8%