NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	114		Excitement	6.0 [617]		MVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): +13.3%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	2.5 [358]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -22.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.01	7	71%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.14	0.03	0.06	14	84%	0.19	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	57%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	12	64%	0.11	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	14	60%	0.14	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Steve Goodrich	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.02	-0.05	11	69%	0.21	2	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.01	18	57%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	6	65%	0.02	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	0.02	12	48%	0.02	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	0.00	18	30%	-0.17	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.5	27.3	15.7	24.0	2.5	36.6	129.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.2%

NJN +11.4%

NYK -3.0%

NYK -8.9%

NJN +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.2	15.6	118.8	101.1	102.3
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	99.6
opponent	15.6	16.0		103.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.0	15.0	13.9	15.6	14.9
NYK	15.6	15.0	16.7	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	81	80	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.07	19	-1	20	15.3	12.8	2.51	15.6	13.3	2.35
Kerry Kittles	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-1	20	14.9	14.8	0.11	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Keith Van Horn	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.14	21	-3	24	15.0	14.8	0.15	15.1	15.7	-0.62
Todd MacCulloch	62	64	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	-1	20	15.2	14.5	0.69	15.0	15.7	-0.69
Jason Kidd	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	3	12	15.2	14.1	1.17	15.7	13.9	1.79
Lucious Harris	48	47	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	18	-18	14.7	15.1	-0.46	15.1	15.4	-0.35
Aaron Williams	31	29	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	21	-24	14.9	14.9	-0.07	16.2	14.8	1.39
Steve Goodrich	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	10.3	15.1	-4.73	8.5	15.4	-6.89
Brandon Armstrong	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	16	-14	10.3	15.1	-4.73	8.5	15.4	-6.89
Richard Jefferson	32	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	19	-20	14.2	15.3	-1.09	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Jason Collins	9	9	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	21	-24	13.7	15.0	-1.38	14.6	15.3	-0.76

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	39	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-22	26	14.5	15.7	-1.19	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Shandon Anderson	18	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-14	10	15.0	15.3	-0.30	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Travis Knight	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-17	16	18.4	15.1	3.33	20.8	14.6	6.21
Charlie Ward	35	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.11	-4	-14	10	15.3	15.2	0.07	16.5	14.0	2.49
Mark Jackson	60	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-4	-10	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Kurt Thomas	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	0	-18	16.2	13.2	2.94	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Allan Houston	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-3	-12	15.3	14.7	0.62	14.9	14.9	0.07
Marcus Camby	81	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.13	-21	3	-24	14.6	18.7	-4.07	14.7	16.0	-1.25
Latrell Sprewell	91	93	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	-1	-16	15.2	16.0	-0.79	15.0	13.3	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.8%
SAC 113, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.4%
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.4%