NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	5.5 [719]		MVP	Hubert Davis (WAS): +1.8%
Washington Wizards	88		Comeback	1.9 [527]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -17.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Moiso	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.05	0.06	23	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	12	50%	-0.10
Bryce Drew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Lee Nailon	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	15	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Robert Traylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	13	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.01	0.12	12	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	3	33%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	23	60%	0.09	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	6	24%	-0.12	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	12	36%	-0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	28.3	19.8	27.1	2.6	29.5	137.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +1.6%

CHH +12.3%

CHH +4.5%

CHH +34.2%

WAS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	WAS	NBA	CHH	WAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.1	15.6	108.0	97.8	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		102.2	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	17.1	18.1	16.0	18.0	17.3
WAS	15.7	16.1	16.0	12.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lee Nailon	73	74	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.22	13	-6	19	16.8	20.0	-3.22	14.8	16.3	-1.53
Stacey Augmon	65	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-4	15	17.0	18.2	-1.14	15.6	13.5	2.12
Baron Davis	77	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	1	5	17.2	18.1	-0.87	15.1	14.5	0.68
P.J. Brown	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.13	9	-2	11	15.8	21.0	-5.26	15.8	13.3	2.46
Elden Campbell	59	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.19	5	2	3	17.8	16.4	1.37	15.1	14.9	0.29
Bryce Drew	40	42	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	8	-9	17.9	16.8	1.14	14.0	16.0	-1.93
Jamaal Magloire	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	16.4	17.8	-1.37	15.4	14.9	0.49
Matt Bullard	25	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	11	-15	20.3	16.2	4.12	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Robert Traylor	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	20.5	17.0	3.49	15.4	15.0	0.35
Jerome Moiso	2	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	10	-13	37.5	16.9	20.64	10.0	15.2	-5.23

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	8	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.1	15.0	1.17	19.3	17.2	2.13
Popeye Jones	53	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-15	23	14.8	15.4	-0.59	16.7	18.3	-1.64
Tyrone Nesby	29	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-7	7	14.5	15.3	-0.79	16.8	17.6	-0.80
Courtney Alexander	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-4	1	14.6	15.3	-0.65	17.6	17.2	0.43
Etan Thomas	8	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	9.9	15.6	-5.69	20.0	17.1	2.94
Hubert Davis	51	51	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-11	15	14.4	15.9	-1.53	17.7	16.9	0.80
Jahidi White	28	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	2	-11	16.4	14.4	1.99	16.8	17.5	-0.69
Kwame Brown	33	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-7	7	13.3	16.1	-2.77	18.6	16.5	2.09
Chris Whitney	24	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	4	-15	16.9	14.4	2.48	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Richard Hamilton	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-6	5	15.1	14.9	0.19	16.9	17.9	-1.04
Christian Laettner	58	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	2	-11	16.3	12.7	3.58	17.0	17.9	-0.86
Michael Jordan	76	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	15.1	14.6	0.49	17.5	16.3	1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0	95.3%
POR 108, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
CHI 112, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%