NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	7.6 [305]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +21.9%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	26.3 [29]		LVP	Bo Outlaw (PHX): -17.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	19	63%	0.15	5	-0.15	5	80%	-0.00
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	0.00	18	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	8	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	18	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	4	8%	-0.11	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,0.22,0.22	0.22	-0.07	0.26	-0.02	21	48%	0.28	3	-0.06	8	62%	0.03
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	13	68%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	17	53%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	7	62%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	0%	-0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	31.0	15.8	27.4	2.4	31.5	132.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +62.4%

PHX -1.8%

PHX -12.6%

DEN +3.8%

PHX -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DEN	NBA	PHX	DEN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.6	103.2	111.6	102.3
season	15.1	16.1		101.0	99.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		105.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	15.1	15.0	15.8	15.1
DEN	15.0	16.2	14.4	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	51	51	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.06	8	-16	24	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.5	13.7	2.80
Tony Delk	32	34	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.00	8	-16	24	12.2	16.5	-4.24	15.9	14.9	1.07
John Wallace	13	14	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.00	5	-13	18	11.6	15.6	-3.99	16.0	15.1	0.88
Jake Tsakalidis	18	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	14.9	15.1	-0.22	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Jake Voskuhl	31	29	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.24	13.8	15.9	-2.15
Shawn Marion	87	87	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.17	-15	7	-22	15.6	9.4	6.21	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Anfernee Hardaway	88	87	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	3	-14	15.2	13.0	2.23	15.5	12.4	3.14
Stephon Marbury	81	81	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.34	-13	5	-18	15.4	13.3	2.08	14.5	19.4	-4.90
Rodney Rogers	74	73	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.32	-15	7	-22	16.1	11.5	4.54	15.2	15.5	-0.38

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raef LaFrentz	68	71	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.24	18	-10	28	15.3	15.1	0.15	16.4	11.0	5.38
James Posey	69	69	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.23	18	-10	28	14.7	16.8	-2.14	16.1	12.3	3.79
Nick Van Exel	78	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-8	24	14.8	17.1	-2.27	15.6	12.6	3.01
Ryan Bowen	42	43	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-3	14	15.8	14.8	1.00	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Voshon Lenard	75	75	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.35	11	-3	14	14.5	18.2	-3.80	14.9	15.8	-1.00
Shawnelle Scott	13	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	12	-16	17.5	14.9	2.65	12.7	15.4	-2.74
Scott Williams	28	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	14	-20	13.9	15.8	-1.88	13.3	15.8	-2.52
Zendon Hamilton	6	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	13	-18	20.5	14.9	5.60	12.4	15.2	-2.81
Calbert Cheaney	44	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.15	-1	9	-10	15.6	15.0	0.59	14.8	15.2	-0.41
Avery Johnson	17	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	16	-24	17.1	14.8	2.27	12.6	15.6	-3.01
George McCloud	35	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.09	-10	18	-28	16.3	14.6	1.64	14.3	15.5	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.29,0.53,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.73,1	89.4%
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	89.2%
LAL 104, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.2,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	89.1%