NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	5.5 [724]		MVP	Oscar Torres (HOU): +24.5%
Houston Rockets	102		Comeback	1.0 [688]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -16.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.02	4	110%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	8	89%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	-0.00	0.10	-0.02	15	59%	0.18	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.04
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.04	0.04	-0.03	11	65%	0.15	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	61%	0.05	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.08	0.01	16	56%	0.00	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Oscar Torres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.05	0.03	11	104%	0.31	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	0.04	26	55%	0.08	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	36%	-0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	14	42%	-0.10	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	25.9	15.8	23.0	2.4	37.5	129.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.9%

CLE +5.9%

HOU -4.9%

HOU -4.2%

CLE +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	HOU	NBA	CLE	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.6	116.3	112.1	102.3
season	15.8	16.8		102.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		106.4	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	18.1	16.0	16.1	15.6
HOU	14.8	17.9	15.3	15.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	86	85	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.31	12	-7	19	15.6	16.3	-0.78	16.0	14.5	1.46
Wesley Person	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-4	13	14.9	18.0	-3.08	15.3	17.9	-2.65
Jumaine Jones	70	72	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	15.0	17.6	-2.61	15.2	18.3	-3.03
Chris Mihm	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.00	13	-8	21	14.2	17.2	-3.05	15.6	16.2	-0.55
Bimbo Coles	37	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	9	-13	17.4	14.4	2.96	15.2	16.3	-1.16
Andre Miller	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	-4	13	14.4	17.4	-2.96	16.3	15.2	1.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	43	42	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	13	-21	17.2	14.2	3.05	16.2	15.6	0.55
Ricky Davis	24	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	18.1	14.7	3.35	18.1	15.1	2.99
Bryant Stith	26	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	14	-23	17.2	15.0	2.15	17.1	15.4	1.71

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	18	18	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-14	23	14.3	16.3	-1.98	18.3	15.0	3.32
Terence Morris	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-8	11	14.6	16.0	-1.36	20.6	15.1	5.49
Tierre Brown	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	13.3	16.5	-3.17	15.1	15.7	-0.60
Kevin Willis	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	16.9	15.0	1.93	16.1	15.1	0.94
Oscar Torres	80	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.44	3	-8	11	16.1	14.0	2.13	15.9	13.7	2.14
Walt Williams	48	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	16	-37	16.7	14.9	1.87	13.9	17.4	-3.55
Kenny Thomas	74	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	1	-7	15.2	18.6	-3.42	15.3	16.9	-1.61
Moochie Norris	76	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	0	-5	16.2	14.3	1.84	15.3	17.0	-1.66
Cuttino Mobley	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	15.9	0.0	15.87	15.6	0.0	15.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 93, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.08,0	93.3%
DEN 106, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.28,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.04,0	93.3%
MIA 105, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%