NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	5.9 [636]		MVP	Juwan Howard (DAL): +19.2%
Dallas Mavericks	91		Comeback	1.0 [322]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -22.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.11	-0.02	13	68%	0.24	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	16	67%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.03	0.00	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-0.08	28	30%	-0.08	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.13	0.07	0.01	10	91%	0.20	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	13	73%	0.17	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	18	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.07
Eduardo Najera	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.20	-0.07	-0.04	21	30%	-0.11	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	22.6	16.8	27.0	1.8	28.0	125.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.9%

DAL -19.3%

PHI +35.6%

DAL -0.8%

DAL -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	15.6	105.4	96.8	102.3
season	15.9	14.8		99.3	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.1	16.2	17.7	19.9	16.2
DAL	13.6	15.8	15.0	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	77	76	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-9	25	16.0	17.1	-1.15	14.4	15.5	-1.07
Allen Iverson	87	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-1	9	16.1	16.5	-0.35	14.5	16.9	-2.40
Matt Harpring	75	76	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-4	15	16.1	16.3	-0.20	14.2	16.3	-2.10
Aaron McKie	82	85	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	16.1	16.7	-0.63	14.6	15.4	-0.89
Dikembe Mutombo	81	83	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	15.9	18.2	-2.29	14.7	14.5	0.21
Vonteego Cummings	11	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	7	-7	16.3	16.2	0.11	17.4	14.3	3.09
Corie Blount	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	8	-9	18.0	15.5	2.48	15.5	14.3	1.19
Raja Bell	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	14	-21	16.3	16.1	0.13	15.3	14.4	0.87

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	22	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.7	14.3	1.42	15.0	16.5	-1.45
Eduardo Najera	4	3	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.00	-5	-2	-3	17.0	14.5	2.47	18.3	16.1	2.23
Tim Hardaway	58	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.12	-4	-3	-1	14.6	14.7	-0.18	14.5	18.7	-4.20
Danny Manning	36	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-4	1	14.7	14.6	0.18	18.7	14.5	4.20
Michael Finley	90	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	14.5	17.0	-2.47	16.1	18.3	-2.23
Juwan Howard	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-2	-3	14.3	16.4	-2.09	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Steve Nash	88	87	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.32	-5	-2	-3	14.7	14.0	0.68	16.5	11.3	5.17
Dirk Nowitzki	94	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.6	0.0	14.64	16.2	0.0	16.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.7%
HOU 97, ORL 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.4,0.26,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.02,0	93.4%
PHI 82, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.1%