NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	78		Excitement	7.8 [241]		MVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): +17.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Comeback	1.6 [430]		LVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): -33.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kurt Thomas	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.01	13	61%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Travis Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Glen Rice	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	5	0%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.31	-0.09	-0.22	0.00	24	42%	-0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.15	-0.19	-0.00	10	36%	-0.12	5	-0.21	2	50%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	64%	0.10	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	-0.00	12	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	15	58%	0.08	4	-0.23	3	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	27.1	15.4	25.6	2.4	30.5	128.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.4%

CLE +28.4%

CLE +22.0%

NYK -18.5%

CLE +5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	15.9	15.5	88.6	89.9	100.9
season	16.4	15.3		99.2	98.4
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	18.3	15.0	16.6	16.6
CLE	14.1	14.4	15.6	20.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	39	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-12	22	17.5	15.9	1.64	15.4	16.4	-1.00
Felton Spencer	12	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	1	-4	17.8	16.4	1.40	14.3	16.2	-1.84
Travis Knight	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-1	0	16.9	16.5	0.47	15.9	15.9	0.02
Othella Harrington	35	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	2	-6	15.7	17.3	-1.61	16.1	15.8	0.32
Mark Jackson	39	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	6	-14	16.8	16.5	0.35	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Charlie Ward	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-8	14	16.5	16.8	-0.35	17.1	14.5	2.57
Kurt Thomas	85	86	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.7	13.3	3.41	15.9	15.3	0.61
Latrell Sprewell	74	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.38	-6	4	-10	16.2	19.1	-2.91	16.2	14.5	1.69
Allan Houston	77	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.56	-2	0	-2	16.6	16.7	-0.12	16.1	14.7	1.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	55	54	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.50	15	-13	28	16.1	15.7	0.40	16.9	16.3	0.59
Andre Miller	73	72	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.40	14	-12	26	16.1	15.3	0.74	16.9	15.2	1.68
Clar. Weatherspoon	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.44	6	-4	10	16.3	14.3	2.01	16.7	16.4	0.26
Matt Harpring	70	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-5	12	15.9	16.2	-0.30	15.8	19.3	-3.46
Lamond Murray	47	47	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.48	-6	8	-14	16.7	15.0	1.74	17.1	16.1	0.94
Wesley Person	38	37	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	0	2	15.5	16.3	-0.78	15.5	17.4	-1.92
Robert Traylor	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	6	-10	15.4	16.1	-0.70	16.8	16.6	0.21
Trajan Langdon	27	27	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	7	-12	15.2	16.2	-1.06	18.9	15.6	3.21
Anthony Johnson	16	16	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.04	-12	14	-26	15.3	16.1	-0.74	15.2	16.9	-1.68
Chris Gatling	18	18	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.12	-7	9	-16	14.8	16.2	-1.36	16.3	16.7	-0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.55,0.77,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 73, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.54,0.76,0.58,1	92.1%
CHA 80, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.67,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.85,0.42,1	91.5%
MIA 101, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.85,0.73,1	91.3%