NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	2.7 [1172]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +12.8%
Golden State Warriors	78		Comeback	1.2 [1121]		LVP	Adonal Foyle (GSW): -11.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.19	0.00	0.07	15	87%	0.14	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	6	83%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	2	62%	0.01	2	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	22	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	4	20%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	43%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Adam Keefe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	6	39%	-0.02	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Paul McPherson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	10	36%	-0.04	2	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Porter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	11	33%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	21	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.07	18	41%	-0.06	6	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.23	-0.00	-0.12	14	14%	-0.06	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	0.8	29.6	15.8	24.2	1.5	26.5	120.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.6%

MIL +3.5%

GSW -14.8%

MIL +15.7%

MIL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	13.6	16.7	15.5	113.7	82.1	100.9
season	14.9	15.0		105.9	95.3
opponent	14.9	15.8		104.8	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.9	16.8	11.5	12.9	13.6
GSW	15.4	19.2	16.8	15.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	3	24	13.5	13.8	-0.38	17.5	15.2	2.28
Glenn Robinson	64	64	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.37	27	3	24	12.5	15.9	-3.43	17.2	15.6	1.60
Ray Allen	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.18	19	11	8	13.6	13.6	0.01	16.8	16.6	0.16
Darvin Ham	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	17	-4	15.3	12.3	3.04	16.3	17.0	-0.72
Mark Pope	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	23	-16	13.5	13.7	-0.14	15.4	18.1	-2.69
Ervin Johnson	53	53	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.24	18	12	6	12.8	14.6	-1.85	16.5	17.0	-0.49
Scott Williams	28	29	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.17	13	17	-4	14.3	13.3	0.99	19.3	15.6	3.72
Lindsey Hunter	49	49	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.20	13	17	-4	14.0	13.1	0.93	16.9	16.5	0.40
Tim Thomas	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.48	20	10	10	13.7	13.5	0.14	18.3	15.4	2.84
Rafer Alston	24	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	13.0	13.8	-0.79	14.1	17.6	-3.48
Joel Przybilla	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	31	-32	15.3	13.3	1.99	11.8	17.5	-5.65

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul McPherson	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-31	32	15.1	17.7	-2.64	14.7	12.9	1.83
Erick Dampier	43	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.26	-13	-17	4	18.3	15.4	2.92	13.7	13.5	0.28
Adam Keefe	53	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	-23	16	15.0	18.9	-3.95	13.9	13.2	0.61
Corie Blount	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-18	6	16.7	16.8	-0.12	14.6	12.8	1.84
Adonal Foyle	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.37	-26	-4	-22	16.5	17.4	-0.88	12.3	17.7	-5.36
Antawn Jamison	68	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.37	-29	-1	-28	17.6	14.6	2.93	14.0	12.7	1.29
Vonteego Cummings	90	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.56	-36	6	-42	17.3	7.0	10.27	13.2	19.8	-6.56
Chris Porter	73	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	-2	-26	16.7	17.0	-0.30	13.5	13.8	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SAS 94, BOS 78	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
POR 88, CHI 63	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%