NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	6.1 [580]		MVP	Robert Horry (LAL): +14.0%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.1 [326]		LVP	Danny Manning (UTA): -15.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	12	69%	0.19	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
Mike Penberthy	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	4	111%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.03	24	53%	0.17	4	-0.11	11	45%	-0.07
Devean George	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	11	86%	0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	62%	0.13	6	-0.14	16	81%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	10	32%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.1%

UTA -4.9%

UTA -1.0%

LAL +1.6%

LAL +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.5	15.2	15.5	105.5	96.7	100.9
season	15.6	16.0		106.8	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.2		100.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.2	15.7	19.0	15.5	16.5
UTA	15.8	13.8	18.9	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	62	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.26	14	-6	20	15.5	18.6	-3.13	15.1	15.4	-0.37
Shaquille O'Neal	61	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-7	22	16.3	16.8	-0.47	15.4	14.7	0.70
Mike Penberthy	46	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.07	13	-5	18	15.8	17.1	-1.35	16.5	13.9	2.55
Derek Fisher	84	83	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	7	-6	16.6	14.7	1.88	14.7	20.7	-6.09
Brian Shaw	45	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	5	-2	16.7	16.2	0.52	15.3	15.1	0.16
Horace Grant	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	17.2	14.4	2.88	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Rick Fox	43	43	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	8	-8	17.1	15.9	1.22	15.7	14.8	0.86
Devean George	18	17	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	9	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.77	15.8	15.1	0.70
Greg Foster	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	9	-10	15.7	16.6	-0.87	15.3	15.2	0.13
Mark Madsen	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	17.7	16.2	1.50	14.2	15.4	-1.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	35	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-7	6	15.7	14.9	0.89	18.0	15.4	2.61
Bryon Russell	66	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.21	2	-10	12	15.6	14.1	1.49	16.8	15.6	1.18
John Starks	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-2	-4	17.4	13.8	3.58	16.6	16.4	0.17
Greg Ostertag	20	21	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	16.8	14.7	2.12	15.3	16.8	-1.51
John Stockton	65	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-7	6	14.3	17.5	-3.17	16.6	16.1	0.50
Donyell Marshall	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-6	4	14.7	17.4	-2.65	16.8	14.9	1.95
Karl Malone	79	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.8	17.9	-3.13	16.7	15.1	1.55
Danny Manning	41	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	13.9	16.3	-2.40	14.6	18.0	-3.44
Jacque Vaughn	39	40	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	6	-20	15.8	14.7	1.13	15.5	17.2	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.19,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.16,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.05,0	94.6%
LAL 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0	94.2%
CLE 88, SAS 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.01,0	94.1%