NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	115		Excitement	11.0 [27]		MVP	Cal Bowdler (ATL): +26.4%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	9.9 [125]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -21.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.02,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.18	-0.00	0.17	-0.01	30	53%	0.25	2	-0.07	17	82%	0.12
Eric Williams	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.00	8	50%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	8	50%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	2	91%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.04
Adrian Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Randy Brown	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	10	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Antoine Walker	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	22	35%	-0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cal Bowdler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.22	0.00	9	68%	0.32	1	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	18	59%	0.11	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	11	66%	0.25	5	-0.24	7	71%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	-0.01	20	56%	-0.00	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.06
Hanno Mottola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	5	25%	-0.05	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	28.8	15.4	29.3	1.6	33.2	1.8	16.0	152.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	1.7	17.2	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -50.2%

BOS +46.2%

BOS +18.0%

BOS +44.4%

ATL -8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	15.5	110.6	106.7	100.9
season	15.1	15.4		99.7	96.0
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	12.8	15.5	14.6	15.1	13.7	14.4
ATL	16.7	13.9	14.8	19.3	16.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	64	65	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.84	5	-2	7	14.4	14.4	0.05	15.2	17.4	-2.19
Paul Pierce	80	80	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-13	29	14.1	15.3	-1.15	17.4	11.7	5.64
Antoine Walker	95	97	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-4	11	14.7	11.3	3.36	16.4	11.7	4.62
Milt Palacio	46	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.56	-1	4	-5	14.7	14.2	0.45	14.6	17.2	-2.68
Bryant Stith	69	70	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.45	-10	13	-23	14.2	14.7	-0.51	15.3	17.4	-2.03
Adrian Griffin	7	6	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	0	3	10.0	14.7	-4.72	13.3	16.2	-2.85
Randy Brown	58	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	-1	5	14.2	14.7	-0.45	17.2	14.6	2.68
Mark Blount	47	47	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.17	2	1	1	14.4	14.4	-0.04	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Walter McCarty	10	10	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	9	-15	12.0	14.7	-2.66	11.5	16.5	-4.99
Vitaly Potapenko	44	45	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.23	-5	8	-13	15.8	13.4	2.37	16.6	15.6	0.98

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-1	-1	17.1	15.8	1.30	12.7	14.7	-2.03
Cal Bowdler	68	67	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.35	11	-14	25	14.6	18.6	-3.94	14.9	13.5	1.38
Dion Glover	23	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	17.0	15.7	1.26	15.5	14.1	1.33
DerMarr Johnson	6	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	13.3	16.2	-2.85	10.0	14.7	-4.72
Lorenzen Wright	66	66	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.40	10	-13	23	15.9	16.2	-0.34	15.6	12.4	3.21
Hanno Mottola	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	0	-3	14.9	16.5	-1.60	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Alan Henderson	21	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	11	-25	18.4	15.4	3.01	11.0	15.2	-4.21
Toni Kukoc	90	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-7	11	16.2	14.9	1.27	14.9	11.8	3.06
Nazr Mohammed	35	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	11	-25	18.5	14.8	3.66	12.9	15.1	-2.20
Jason Terry	96	95	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	0	-3	15.6	20.3	-4.72	14.1	17.2	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.53,0.33,0.4,0.69,0.81,0.68,0.74,0.5,0.33,0.45,0.68,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 130, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.71,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0	90.1%
TOR 100, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.62,0.54,0.76,0.92,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.55,0.58,0	88.2%
PHX 96, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.58,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.67,0.73,0	87.0%