inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 109 Excitement12.9 [5] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): +15.4%
Chicago Bulls 104 Comeback34.7 [35] LVPGeorge McCloud (DEN): -58.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.070.080.01780%0.171-0.026100%0.02
Kevin Willis0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.020.011369%0.152-0.0800%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.19,0.14,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.022359%0.095-0.111369%-0.10
Ryan Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.050.00961%0.092-0.1200%0.00
Voshon Lenard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Robert Pack-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.090,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09-0.06-0.04-0.011556%0.144-0.231182%0.25
Calbert Cheaney-0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.01410%-0.081-0.04250%-0.02
George McCloud-0.590,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.29,-0.39,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48,-0.53,-0.53,-0.59-0.17-0.420.00926%-0.235-0.361100%0.01

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.18,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.120.120.030.07-0.021650%0.1200.002100%0.01
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.00562%0.0500.003100%0.03
Dragan Tarlac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.0310%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.030.00655%-0.0500.001060%-0.07
Corey Benjamin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00360%0.012-0.07450%-0.02
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16-0.16-0.01-0.120.022752%-0.053-0.114100%0.08
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.08-0.001125%-0.141-0.042100%0.05
Elton Brand0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.13,-0.13,-0.33-0.33-0.06-0.27-0.001853%-0.213-0.111127%-0.40
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game20.11.626.415.727.02.437.81.016.5148.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +7.9%
DEN +73.2%
DEN +40.6%
CHI -61.3%
CHI -10.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCHINBADENCHINBA
this game15.416.115.5107.9103.0100.9
season15.216.4101.495.2
opponent15.115.2104.9104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN16.119.014.412.316.115.4
CHI17.414.516.916.015.516.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George McCloud93920.64-0.140.780.2912-71915.217.6-2.4516.611.05.62
Antonio McDyess96950.400.100.300.4005-515.512.82.7016.018.3-2.35
Raef LaFrentz44450.370.130.240.3705-515.515.20.3215.216.9-1.70
James Posey73740.350.150.200.49-510-1515.116.1-1.0715.517.9-2.42
Calbert Cheaney65670.290.210.08-0.0010-51515.515.10.4017.214.13.11
Kevin Willis62620.230.27-0.03-0.0610-51515.015.9-0.8717.014.72.32
Ryan Bowen4238-0.050.55-0.60-0.1741313.616.6-3.0315.716.3-0.61
Voshon Lenard1515-0.060.56-0.620.03-38-1118.714.83.8814.516.4-1.94
Robert Pack67-0.170.67-0.840.06-813-2123.514.98.6512.916.4-3.50

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace72730.21-0.710.91-0.1813-183115.816.9-1.0915.714.51.20
Bryce Drew2020-0.03-0.470.440.03-2-3117.015.91.1616.715.01.73
Brad Miller6362-0.06-0.440.37-0.122-7916.715.21.4615.914.61.27
Corey Benjamin3333-0.16-0.340.19-0.07-3-2-115.616.4-0.8116.814.72.16
Jamal Crawford7069-0.21-0.290.07-0.334-91315.617.3-1.6415.415.30.08
Dragan Tarlac1312-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-127-1915.516.2-0.6713.015.7-2.69
Ron Mercer9494-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-7916.017.6-1.5615.513.91.62
Fred Hoiberg5456-0.750.25-1.00-0.28-1611-2716.615.61.0213.218.1-4.95
Elton Brand8686-0.770.27-1.04-0.39-138-2116.315.11.1615.514.70.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.43,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 101, IND 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.23,0.26,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.23,0.02,087.7%
POR 114, DAL 1120.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.32,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.76,0.42,087.4%
NJN 97, PHI 900.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.69,0.27,0.54,0.53,0.37,0.23,0.58,087.1%