inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 95 Excitement3.2 [1102] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +9.6%
Utah Jazz 107 Comeback1.2 [1007] LVPRodney Rogers (PHX): -10.5%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tom Gugliotta0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01867%0.042-0.022100%0.00
Tony Delk0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021258%0.0100.001292%0.03
Vinny Del Negro0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04475%0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Dudley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Santiago-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Elliot Perry-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.030.000.03560%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.041039%-0.012-0.043100%0.02
Clifford Robinson-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.021243%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Shawn Marion-0.060,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.010.042052%-0.052-0.01683%-0.01
Mario Elie-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00333%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Rodney Rogers-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.03621%-0.053-0.05250%-0.01

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.100.020.035100%0.101-0.004100%0.01
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.00971%0.091-0.031080%0.02
Olden Polynice0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01375%0.051-0.0220%-0.02
David Benoit0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.020.021169%0.054-0.05475%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.050.00-0.05150%0.002-0.002100%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01470%0.032-0.03250%-0.01
John Stockton0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.03855%0.013-0.03683%0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01450%-0.021-0.00450%-0.00
Jacque Vaughn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.011100%0.023-0.04367%0.00
John Starks0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.02675%0.045-0.1200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.032.216.527.32.436.6138.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +55.7%
UTA +4.4%
UTA +2.9%
PHX -13.0%
PHX -0.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXUTANBAPHXUTANBA
this game14.315.515.597.9111.5100.9
season14.916.097.7105.3
opponent15.515.4100.596.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX18.515.614.310.414.3
UTA18.414.415.714.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Dudley66-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-15187.814.7-6.9012.715.7-3.07
Elliot Perry2929-0.01-0.490.49-0.3010-223210.416.0-5.6114.416.0-1.57
Daniel Santiago3635-0.03-0.470.44-0.185-172211.516.0-4.4215.015.9-0.85
Clifford Robinson5756-0.11-0.390.28-0.141-131415.712.33.4215.915.10.80
Vinny Del Negro2021-0.15-0.350.21-0.181-131410.815.2-4.4215.315.6-0.33
Mario Elie3837-0.27-0.23-0.050.02-10-2-816.712.83.8616.215.11.14
Tony Delk7170-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.20-4-8413.117.6-4.4614.817.4-2.58
Jason Kidd5957-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-164-2016.211.44.8315.815.10.74
Shawn Marion7069-0.41-0.09-0.310.03-153-1815.511.24.2816.313.52.81
Rodney Rogers4139-0.42-0.08-0.330.17-208-2814.614.10.5615.415.6-0.22
Tom Gugliotta5861-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-153-1814.813.51.2915.715.20.49

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall52530.390.110.28-0.0214-21615.415.7-0.2215.712.73.02
John Starks53540.320.180.13-0.0914-21615.715.40.2715.912.33.56
Karl Malone55550.320.180.13-0.2118-62415.515.6-0.1616.511.55.00
Jacque Vaughn42400.270.230.040.0966016.414.91.5813.514.9-1.38
David Benoit51510.250.25-0.000.1348-415.116.0-0.9012.116.8-4.70
John Stockton45470.220.28-0.07-0.0593615.215.8-0.5615.613.12.45
Bryon Russell48500.190.31-0.110.13210-814.816.3-1.5414.114.6-0.47
Greg Ostertag47470.190.31-0.120.19012-1215.515.6-0.1411.616.9-5.26
Danny Manning23240.180.32-0.140.0648-415.615.50.0914.414.30.09
Olden Polynice33330.160.34-0.17-0.0166018.014.33.7517.212.84.45
John Crotty20200.010.49-0.490.30-1022-3214.415.8-1.3810.415.3-4.86
Scott Padgett11110.000.50-0.500.21-719-2613.715.8-2.057.715.2-7.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 101, PHX 1230.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
UTA 96, DAL 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,195.6%
BOS 99, DEN 1120.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%