NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	6.4 [515]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): +4.8%
Houston Rockets	99		Comeback	10.9 [277]		LVP	Sean Rooks (LAC): -17.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	14	58%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Cherokee Parks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	44%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	3	25%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	19	49%	-0.07	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	8	25%	-0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	19	52%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	15	62%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.03	0.03	15	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	14	100%	0.10
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	13	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.6	29.2	15.7	22.3	2.4	34.5	129.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +14.5%

HOU +28.6%

LAC -0.4%

HOU +7.5%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	16.5	15.8	15.5	98.9	110.0	100.9
season	16.1	16.3		99.5	104.6
opponent	14.9	15.5		102.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.7	13.9	17.6	17.0	16.5
HOU	13.7	18.0	17.5	14.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	23	23	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-18	24	13.9	17.5	-3.61	17.7	15.2	2.56
Cherokee Parks	36	37	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-13	14	17.6	15.8	1.73	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Michael Olowokandi	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-7	2	19.4	13.5	5.87	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Eric Piatkowski	65	66	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-5	-2	17.4	14.0	3.37	15.8	16.0	-0.23
Sean Rooks	38	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-7	2	12.9	19.3	-6.31	16.2	15.5	0.66
Quentin Richardson	24	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-7	2	13.7	17.6	-3.83	16.3	15.6	0.67
Corey Maggette	80	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	1	-14	16.9	12.4	4.58	15.9	15.5	0.37
Jeff McInnis	72	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.13	-17	5	-22	17.1	14.2	2.87	15.1	19.2	-4.16
Darius Miles	57	59	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	3	-18	16.0	17.5	-1.47	16.1	15.3	0.88

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Rogers	28	28	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.17	24	-12	36	14.3	16.5	-2.19	16.7	16.4	0.32
Shandon Anderson	67	65	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-3	18	15.3	17.3	-1.98	18.1	12.2	5.90
Walt Williams	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.20	14	-2	16	16.1	15.5	0.57	15.6	18.0	-2.39
Cuttino Mobley	78	75	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.13	16	-4	20	16.0	14.8	1.15	16.7	15.5	1.17
Steve Francis	88	86	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-2	16	15.6	24.5	-8.86	16.5	18.0	-1.50
Kenny Thomas	11	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	18	-24	19.5	15.3	4.23	13.5	17.0	-3.42
Moochie Norris	21	21	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	18	-24	18.0	15.2	2.83	13.2	17.6	-4.33
Maurice Taylor	51	51	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.10	-5	17	-22	15.5	16.3	-0.84	16.7	16.3	0.41
Kelvin Cato	51	49	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.07	-6	18	-24	15.9	15.8	0.07	17.1	15.8	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.95,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.67,0.62,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	92.2%
DEN 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1	92.0%
DET 84, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	91.8%