NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	6.6 [467]		MVP	David Wesley (CHH): +5.9%
Charlotte Hornets	91		Comeback	50.3 [42]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -24.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	56%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Soumaila Samake	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	18	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,-0.05,-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	22	41%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	19	58%	0.10	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tim James	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23,-0.01	-0.01	-0.12	0.12	0.02	20	43%	0.06	2	-0.07	13	92%	0.10
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.5	28.7	15.0	27.2	2.4	32.3	130.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +0.8%

CHH +25.9%

CHH +16.8%

CHH +2.2%

CHH +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.5	92.6	96.8	100.9
season	15.5	15.8		97.8	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	13.6	15.0	17.1	15.0
CHH	14.4	15.8	17.0	15.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	6	5	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-10	17	16.2	14.9	1.27	13.0	15.6	-2.64
Soumaila Samake	9	8	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-8	13	13.0	15.2	-2.19	19.5	15.1	4.37
Aaron Williams	46	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-8	13	16.1	13.9	2.15	16.7	14.5	2.12
Evan Eschmeyer	47	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	3	-9	14.3	15.6	-1.35	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Lucious Harris	67	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	0	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.2	16.3	-1.17
Stephon Marbury	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	14.9	16.5	-1.59	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Keith Van Horn	91	91	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	14.9	17.2	-2.37	15.4	18.3	-2.93
Johnny Newman	46	45	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.53	1	-4	5	15.3	14.7	0.59	15.7	15.3	0.36
Kenyon Martin	72	73	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.39	-20	17	-37	15.1	14.7	0.32	15.2	16.5	-1.32

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otis Thorpe	39	40	1.16	-0.66	1.82	0.52	22	-19	41	15.6	15.4	0.24	16.3	14.0	2.24
David Wesley	82	82	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-8	19	15.3	16.6	-1.24	15.1	14.5	0.60
P.J. Brown	74	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.42	8	-5	13	14.9	17.6	-2.73	15.1	14.6	0.48
Eddie Robinson	44	45	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.53	1	2	-1	15.5	15.5	-0.09	15.8	14.2	1.60
Jamal Mashburn	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.46	0	3	-3	15.4	17.2	-1.80	14.9	16.7	-1.80
Tim James	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	3	-3	15.9	15.5	0.45	17.4	14.7	2.70
Baron Davis	68	68	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	7	-11	15.9	14.3	1.60	14.3	16.7	-2.46
Elden Campbell	45	45	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.14	-6	9	-15	16.4	14.7	1.68	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Jamaal Magloire	19	20	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.08	-17	20	-37	14.8	15.7	-0.82	14.3	15.2	-0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.29,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 99, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.58,1	91.5%
SAS 81, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.15,0.31,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.28,1	90.1%
PHI 80, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.29,0.06,0.27,1	89.5%