NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	105		Excitement	5.6 [675]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +8.7%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	1.9 [1032]		LVP	Tyrone Nesby (WAS): -9.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	16	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Mitch Richmond	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	16	68%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gerard King	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.12	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	10	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Popeye Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	61%	0.01	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	0	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Tyrone Nesby	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	13	71%	0.15	2	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	4	73%	0.04	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	24	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Loy Vaught	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	10	52%	0.02	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	8	41%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	30.3	16.8	27.0	2.6	30.4	135.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +24.1%

DAL +15.3%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +8.0%

DAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DAL	NBA	WAS	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.5	112.9	119.1	100.9
season	15.2	15.2		98.6	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.2		101.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.2	15.5	16.1	15.3	15.5
DAL	13.1	15.1	15.2	18.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Smith	26	27	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-14	21	16.6	15.1	1.50	17.0	14.6	2.48
Popeye Jones	22	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-6	5	18.0	14.8	3.23	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Tyrone Nesby	54	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	14.4	17.1	-2.65	15.5	14.9	0.55
Gerard King	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	16.7	15.1	1.55	15.3	15.2	0.06
Chris Whitney	55	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-4	1	16.3	14.5	1.80	15.1	15.5	-0.42
Mitch Richmond	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.25	-2	-5	3	15.0	17.0	-2.01	15.4	14.9	0.53
Juwan Howard	79	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	1	-9	14.7	20.3	-5.59	15.1	16.2	-1.11
Jahidi White	58	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	7	-21	15.4	15.8	-0.37	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Richard Hamilton	79	81	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.27	-14	7	-21	15.8	14.0	1.81	15.1	16.0	-0.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	85	82	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-8	23	15.1	17.2	-2.16	15.4	16.5	-1.14
Howard Eisley	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-7	21	15.2	15.3	-0.08	15.9	14.8	1.10
Dirk Nowitzki	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	2	3	15.7	13.7	2.07	15.4	16.1	-0.71
Christian Laettner	38	38	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.05	9	-2	11	14.5	15.8	-1.29	16.3	15.0	1.36
Greg Buckner	54	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	8	-9	15.4	15.1	0.29	14.8	16.4	-1.60
Shawn Bradley	51	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	9	-11	16.6	13.7	2.93	14.8	16.3	-1.51
Steve Nash	57	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.36	-9	16	-25	15.5	14.9	0.57	15.5	15.6	-0.17
Hubert Davis	21	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	4	-1	15.8	15.1	0.70	16.5	15.2	1.25
Gary Trent	22	20	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.07	3	4	-1	12.5	16.1	-3.67	16.7	15.2	1.48
Loy Vaught	7	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	9	-11	11.9	15.5	-3.68	15.4	15.5	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 100, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.83,1	94.4%
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DEN 99, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%