NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	104		Excitement	4.6 [864]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +16.0%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	1.0 [1104]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -15.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	0.00	0.06	12	83%	0.10	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	4	90%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	9	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Keith Van Horn	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	26	50%	0.02	7	-0.17	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.05	0.06	19	69%	0.16	0	0.00	7	100%	0.01
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	-0.00	8	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	5	100%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.05	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	20	52%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	8	36%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.6	17.7	26.0	1.7	30.2	129.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.2%

NJN -6.3%

NJN -23.2%

NYK +19.4%

NYK +7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.5	115.6	126.7	100.9
season	15.5	16.4		97.8	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.1		96.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.4	14.2	18.9	14.1	15.0
NYK	16.0	17.3	17.1	17.8	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-12	14	15.3	15.0	0.33	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Johnny Newman	48	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-11	12	14.4	15.7	-1.29	17.5	16.5	0.93
Jamie Feick	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-16	22	14.3	16.3	-2.02	17.0	17.1	-0.06
Stephen Jackson	31	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-9	8	14.3	15.4	-1.10	17.4	16.8	0.52
Aaron Williams	47	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-11	12	15.1	14.9	0.22	17.1	16.9	0.22
Keith Van Horn	33	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	15.6	14.6	1.04	17.0	17.1	-0.08
Evan Eschmeyer	30	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	6	-22	16.4	14.3	2.13	16.7	17.2	-0.53
Lucious Harris	61	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	15.1	14.7	0.43	17.0	17.0	0.03
Kenyon Martin	52	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	7	-24	15.3	14.6	0.69	16.6	17.6	-1.05
Stephon Marbury	83	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.15	-12	2	-14	15.0	15.3	-0.33	17.1	16.3	0.80

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	65	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-3	16	16.9	17.4	-0.52	15.0	14.9	0.08
Charlie Ward	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-5	20	16.7	17.6	-0.96	15.4	14.4	0.98
Marcus Camby	71	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	-2	14	16.9	17.3	-0.37	15.1	14.7	0.41
Latrell Sprewell	77	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	0	10	17.1	16.7	0.39	15.2	13.9	1.25
Larry Johnson	60	61	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	1	8	17.0	17.0	0.03	15.0	14.9	0.17
Kurt Thomas	49	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.18	-1	11	-12	17.1	16.9	0.22	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Glen Rice	38	40	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.18	-3	13	-16	17.2	16.9	0.23	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Chris Childs	34	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	15	-20	17.6	16.7	0.96	14.4	15.4	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.65,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ORL 81, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
LAL 100, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%