NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	85		Excitement	3.2 [1108]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +6.6%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.4 [1199]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -16.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	22	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Chris Mullin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.10	-0.01	0.12	12	71%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	11	30%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.19	-0.01	-0.04	9	11%	-0.10	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	65%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	6	79%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	10	64%	-0.03	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	26.3	16.7	25.2	1.8	28.2	124.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +37.8%

SAS +3.2%

SAS +5.9%

SAS +4.5%

GSW -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	14.8	15.1	15.5	88.5	112.4	100.9
season	15.0	15.9		95.3	103.4
opponent	15.5	14.9		96.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	15.3	16.7	13.9	14.8
SAS	15.6	15.3	13.3	16.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	31	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-26	28	13.9	15.2	-1.33	16.7	14.3	2.41
Corie Blount	42	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-23	22	13.8	15.5	-1.67	16.3	14.0	2.28
Paul McPherson	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	-18	12	14.5	14.9	-0.46	16.6	14.1	2.52
Chris Mullin	15	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-16	8	16.8	14.4	2.40	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Adonal Foyle	46	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.23	-15	-9	-6	15.3	14.3	1.07	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Bob Sura	61	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-10	-4	14.8	14.8	-0.00	15.3	14.6	0.69
Marc Jackson	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-6	-12	15.0	14.4	0.62	13.7	16.9	-3.21
Mookie Blaylock	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	0	-24	14.6	14.9	-0.37	15.4	14.8	0.53
Vonteego Cummings	80	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-12	0	14.7	15.1	-0.35	14.6	17.6	-2.98
Antawn Jamison	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	0	-24	15.1	14.0	1.07	14.5	16.5	-2.00

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	61	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.39	30	-6	36	14.4	16.1	-1.70	15.2	14.0	1.21
Malik Rose	60	58	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.18	21	3	18	14.5	16.0	-1.46	14.8	14.7	0.06
Tim Duncan	54	54	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	6	12	14.5	15.8	-1.25	14.9	14.6	0.35
Terry Porter	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	7	10	14.0	16.1	-2.12	15.0	14.6	0.36
Derrick Dial	38	38	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	12	0	16.2	14.3	1.87	14.8	14.8	0.03
Danny Ferry	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.27	16	8	8	15.5	14.9	0.60	15.9	14.3	1.56
David Robinson	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	9	6	13.9	16.3	-2.38	14.8	14.7	0.14
Antonio Daniels	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	17	-10	16.1	14.0	2.12	14.6	15.0	-0.36
Samaki Walker	31	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	26	-28	16.7	14.3	2.41	13.9	15.2	-1.33
Shawnelle Scott	22	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	30	-36	15.9	14.8	1.08	14.0	15.0	-0.93
Jaren Jackson	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	25	-26	15.1	15.1	0.07	14.4	14.8	-0.40
Steve Kerr	29	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.19	-7	31	-38	16.2	14.6	1.67	13.9	15.1	-1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 88, MIA 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
IND 89, GSW 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIN 95, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%