NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	4.1 [971]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +16.1%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	1.3 [972]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -13.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.01	-0.02	21	67%	0.19	1	-0.03	16	81%	0.05
Chris Carr	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	58%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	18	45%	-0.03	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.15	0.04	0.04	17	69%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	4	69%	0.04	2	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	-0.01	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	28.3	16.4	26.5	2.3	28.4	130.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.0%

BOS -0.6%

TOR +12.7%

TOR +2.4%

TOR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.5	104.3	118.3	100.9
season	15.1	15.8		99.7	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.6	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.1	15.7	14.0	14.8	15.1
TOR	15.9	17.0	14.8	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	12.4	15.6	-3.22	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Chris Carr	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-14	16	13.4	15.5	-2.07	16.1	15.6	0.51
Mark Blount	32	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-14	16	15.8	14.7	1.07	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Kenny Anderson	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-7	2	15.3	14.7	0.63	16.0	15.2	0.75
Paul Pierce	75	76	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-6	0	15.6	13.1	2.51	16.4	12.5	3.95
Bryant Stith	49	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-1	-10	15.5	14.7	0.84	15.0	16.4	-1.41
Milt Palacio	33	33	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	14.7	15.3	-0.63	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Vitaly Potapenko	61	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	0	-12	14.7	15.8	-1.14	16.2	14.9	1.26
Eric Williams	54	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	14.6	15.7	-1.08	15.2	16.3	-1.14
Antoine Walker	73	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	8	-28	15.6	13.3	2.34	15.5	16.2	-0.69

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	81	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-5	22	15.3	18.1	-2.74	15.6	11.9	3.69
Alvin Williams	60	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	1	10	15.7	15.6	0.14	14.3	16.5	-2.23
Morris Peterson	61	62	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	5	2	15.5	16.0	-0.46	15.7	14.0	1.63
Vince Carter	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-2	16	15.9	15.4	0.42	15.9	13.9	2.02
Antonio Davis	57	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	3	6	15.7	15.6	0.10	14.8	15.6	-0.73
Keon Clark	42	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	8	-4	16.5	15.0	1.46	15.0	15.2	-0.20
Mark Jackson	60	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	15.1	16.8	-1.73	15.4	14.6	0.72
Dell Curry	25	25	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	10	-8	15.8	15.7	0.08	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Tracy Murray	16	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	13	-14	17.7	15.3	2.48	13.1	15.5	-2.39
Mamadou N'diaye	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	18	-24	14.5	15.8	-1.28	11.7	15.3	-3.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, ORL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DET 93, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 100, UTA 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%