NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	78		Excitement	2.2 [1219]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +3.7%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.1 [1215]		LVP	Bob Sura (GSW): -13.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	71%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	14	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Bill Curley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	5	85%	0.00	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	8	30%	-0.05	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chucky Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	23	38%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.23	0.00	-0.09	15	24%	-0.10	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.07	10	59%	0.04	3	-0.01	9	56%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	87%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	86%	0.00	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	68%	0.03	6	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	9	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.2	14.8	25.2	1.8	29.0	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +43.5%

GSW -0.9%

UTA +13.4%

GSW -9.7%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	79.6	102.0	100.9
season	15.0	16.0		95.3	105.3
opponent	15.5	14.9		100.5	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.3	15.3	13.1	15.9	14.8
UTA	15.3	16.7	12.2	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Brown	23	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.15	0	-22	22	17.6	13.9	3.63	16.0	14.2	1.88
Adam Keefe	48	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-18	14	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.1	14.1	0.96
Vonteego Cummings	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.06	-4	-18	14	15.4	14.2	1.22	14.6	14.6	-0.00
Bill Curley	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-28	34	15.7	14.0	1.75	15.8	13.6	2.25
Chris Mullin	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	-2	-18	13.5	16.1	-2.55	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Bob Sura	71	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.17	-17	-5	-12	14.7	14.9	-0.14	14.5	15.0	-0.54
Mookie Blaylock	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-6	-10	14.6	15.2	-0.55	14.4	15.0	-0.53
Marc Jackson	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.50	-31	9	-40	14.0	16.2	-2.20	14.0	15.8	-1.78
Antawn Jamison	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.29	-24	2	-26	14.5	16.0	-1.59	14.3	15.9	-1.63

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	1	20	15.4	13.8	1.65	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Donyell Marshall	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.27	21	1	20	14.1	15.9	-1.86	14.1	16.5	-2.34
John Starks	60	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.19	18	4	14	13.8	15.8	-1.98	14.1	15.8	-1.69
John Stockton	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.16	15	7	8	14.3	14.9	-0.64	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Greg Ostertag	61	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	12	-2	15.3	13.5	1.84	15.2	14.1	1.18
Karl Malone	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.07	11	11	0	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Olden Polynice	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	10	2	13.5	15.3	-1.84	14.1	15.2	-1.18
Jacque Vaughn	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	12	-2	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.2	14.4	0.77
DeShawn Stevenson	15	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	21	-20	16.7	14.2	2.52	16.9	14.4	2.50
Danny Manning	15	14	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	26	-30	16.0	14.3	1.65	20.1	13.9	6.25
David Benoit	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	22	-22	14.7	14.5	0.19	14.9	14.7	0.19
John Crotty	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.15	-5	27	-32	14.9	14.6	0.30	16.7	14.5	2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
CHI 80, BOS 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
CLE 95, MIN 129	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%