NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	91		Excitement	4.6 [863]		MVP	Scott Williams (MIL): +8.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	105		Comeback	1.2 [952]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	10	73%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Allan Houston	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	15	60%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	65%	0.00	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	15	51%	-0.04	5	-0.06	11	64%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	10	25%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	5	82%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.02	-0.03	14	63%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	16	59%	0.11	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.03	0.06	18	61%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	16	54%	0.04	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Mark Pope	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.5	25.6	15.6	25.2	2.4	24.3	125.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.9%

NYK -2.6%

MIL +7.4%

MIL +4.5%

NYK -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.5	102.2	115.4	100.9
season	16.4	14.9		99.2	105.9
opponent	15.8	16.1		102.3	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	19.1	15.4	14.8	16.1
MIL	12.8	17.9	14.6	19.5	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-15	16	10.5	16.5	-5.98	16.0	15.9	0.08
Felton Spencer	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	9.4	16.5	-7.08	15.8	15.9	-0.13
Erick Strickland	19	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-11	8	12.6	17.0	-4.45	14.7	16.2	-1.57
Chris Childs	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-10	6	16.5	15.7	0.80	17.5	14.7	2.86
Larry Johnson	59	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-3	-8	17.6	13.0	4.59	16.3	15.2	1.06
Charlie Ward	54	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-6	-2	15.2	17.5	-2.27	15.3	17.0	-1.70
Glen Rice	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	16.5	15.4	1.06	16.9	14.6	2.31
Latrell Sprewell	75	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	16.2	15.6	0.60	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Kurt Thomas	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	2	-18	15.6	17.4	-1.77	15.2	18.0	-2.82
Allan Houston	67	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	-3	-8	17.2	12.8	4.39	15.7	16.6	-0.87

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	2	10	16.7	14.7	2.01	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Ray Allen	69	69	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-4	22	15.1	18.6	-3.58	15.7	17.5	-1.90
Glenn Robinson	78	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	3	8	15.9	16.1	-0.18	15.6	18.6	-2.97
Scott Williams	48	45	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	7	0	14.2	17.8	-3.54	16.6	15.5	1.10
Ervin Johnson	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.06	11	3	8	17.7	14.5	3.25	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Sam Cassell	65	62	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.05	10	4	6	16.6	14.2	2.42	17.2	13.5	3.73
Mark Pope	39	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	14.4	17.1	-2.65	16.2	16.0	0.15
Tim Thomas	40	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	12	-10	16.1	15.7	0.40	15.4	16.7	-1.23
Jason Caffey	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	14	-14	18.3	15.5	2.81	19.5	15.3	4.17
Rafer Alston	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.0	16.0	-0.95	8.0	16.3	-8.26
Joel Przybilla	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	15.0	16.0	-0.95	8.0	16.3	-8.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 104, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 74, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.86,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 68, TOR 74	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%