NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	97		Excitement	5.2 [753]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +23.2%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.7 [700]		LVP	Joe Smith (DET): -13.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.03	-0.03	21	69%	0.25	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Glen Rice	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	13	69%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Luc Longley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.01	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	24	57%	0.01	4	-0.10	17	82%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	16	45%	-0.09	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.3	28.5	15.8	28.2	2.7	36.2	141.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +42.3%

DET -5.4%

DET -8.4%

NYK +17.0%

NYK +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.5	106.6	102.2	100.9
season	16.4	14.3		99.2	97.9
opponent	15.4	16.1		99.6	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.5	15.8	16.7	18.6	16.9
DET	14.8	17.0	13.3	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Rice	42	40	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.01	21	-15	36	16.4	17.3	-0.84	16.9	13.6	3.36
Luc Longley	38	38	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-15	36	16.8	17.0	-0.20	17.1	13.6	3.54
Chris Childs	52	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-2	10	17.4	16.1	1.31	16.1	13.9	2.18
Allan Houston	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	4	-2	17.9	14.7	3.18	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Larry Johnson	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	3	0	17.1	16.3	0.83	14.3	17.6	-3.31
Travis Knight	13	10	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	3	0	15.1	17.2	-2.10	19.9	14.5	5.41
Erick Strickland	17	16	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	14.8	17.4	-2.53	14.0	15.3	-1.34
Latrell Sprewell	59	58	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.42	-13	19	-32	17.0	16.7	0.34	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Charlie Ward	40	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	15.8	17.7	-1.97	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Kurt Thomas	63	63	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.37	-15	21	-36	17.1	16.4	0.70	14.0	17.8	-3.82

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	65	67	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.41	16	-22	38	14.5	16.8	-2.31	16.3	18.4	-2.03
Mateen Cleaves	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-11	16	14.4	16.0	-1.61	17.7	15.8	1.97
Michael Curry	53	54	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-10	14	15.3	14.8	0.50	15.9	18.3	-2.39
Ben Wallace	64	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.30	8	-14	22	14.0	17.9	-3.86	17.4	15.7	1.72
Jud Buechler	5	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	18.8	14.9	3.92	18.5	16.8	1.70
Dana Barros	25	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-8	10	15.8	14.8	0.92	15.0	17.7	-2.77
Chucky Atkins	13	13	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	4	-14	16.5	14.9	1.68	16.5	16.9	-0.49
Jerry Stackhouse	80	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.43	5	-11	16	14.8	18.1	-3.35	16.7	18.6	-1.83
Billy Owens	15	13	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	9	-24	16.5	14.8	1.64	17.5	16.8	0.68
John Wallace	25	26	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	14.2	15.5	-1.25	19.4	15.9	3.51
Mikki Moore	22	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	9	-24	18.5	14.0	4.45	15.6	17.3	-1.76
Eric Montross	27	26	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	15	-36	16.4	14.5	1.93	18.2	16.3	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
NOP 106, BKN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 95, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%