inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 106 Excitement7.6 [283] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +36.7%
Dallas Mavericks 115 Comeback713.3 [4] LVPHoward Eisley (DAL): -28.0%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Miller0.080,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.080.040.01-0.031162%0.091-0.01450%-0.00
Monty Williams0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00471%0.0500.006100%0.03
James Robinson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Troy Hudson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.03337%0.012-0.05250%-0.00
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.100.02-0.041328%-0.0400.00367%-0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06-0.02-0.05-0.013049%-0.002-0.06989%0.04
Bo Outlaw-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06-0.040.000.02467%0.013-0.07450%-0.03
John Amaechi-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.080.00-0.01310%-0.0700.00425%-0.03
Pat Garrity-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.040.02450%-0.051-0.022100%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.130,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.05-0.041547%-0.054-0.071050%-0.06

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.370.37-0.050.36-0.062150%0.515-0.1400%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.03-0.01641%0.0100.00560%0.02
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01750%-0.0200.00887%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.080.062656%0.085-0.111681%0.04
Christian Laettner0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.080.01-0.041340%0.022-0.044100%0.02
Loy Vaught0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.010.031145%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.070.021036%-0.1400.002100%0.01
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.28-0.28-0.23-0.08-0.021128%-0.145-0.14786%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.21.728.515.727.42.440.31.717.3159.1
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +21.2%
DAL +8.4%
DAL +25.6%
ORL -9.0%
DAL +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game12.715.615.595.5100.9100.9
season14.615.2101.6104.6
opponent15.315.8101.2100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL12.014.814.810.59.812.7
DAL17.812.415.215.619.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac38390.35-0.851.190.089-182712.612.7-0.0717.014.82.16
Monty Williams36390.31-0.811.110.36-2-7514.012.02.0016.615.01.58
Andrew DeClercq21240.20-0.700.90-0.0910-192912.012.8-0.7715.315.6-0.28
James Robinson89-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-3-311.112.8-1.6714.415.6-1.20
John Amaechi1415-0.07-0.430.360.17-8-1-717.811.95.8515.215.6-0.41
Tracy McGrady9797-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.41-1-8712.613.2-0.6215.615.50.10
Darrell Armstrong9898-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.471-101113.010.52.4215.913.42.46
Pat Garrity5354-0.47-0.03-0.440.06-189-2713.511.91.6015.115.9-0.77
Bo Outlaw8888-0.510.01-0.53-0.510-9912.513.4-0.9015.714.90.82
Troy Hudson2528-0.580.08-0.660.09-2314-379.013.7-4.6912.616.5-3.90
Mike Miller7779-0.850.35-1.20-0.65-7-2-512.014.1-2.1215.316.2-0.93

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hubert Davis72710.78-0.281.070.1123-143714.617.2-2.6312.612.7-0.12
Dirk Nowitzki100990.72-0.220.940.2815-62115.615.30.3012.910.72.25
Howard Eisley91890.51-0.010.520.2590916.213.03.2012.214.6-2.45
Michael Finley1041010.310.190.130.2918-715.713.62.1412.613.2-0.58
Loy Vaught30270.190.31-0.110.1909-913.716.2-2.479.713.6-3.93
Shawn Bradley55560.110.39-0.280.14-110-1117.713.54.2412.512.9-0.43
Christian Laettner64580.050.45-0.40-0.1572514.217.2-3.0114.011.22.77
Courtney Alexander5454-0.190.69-0.880.08-918-2715.715.40.2213.511.91.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 134, HOU 1380.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.14,0.04,0.5,0.85,0.63,0.57,0.73,190.0%
TOR 101, PHI 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.54,0.67,0.63,0.77,0.95,188.8%
SAC 110, POR 1120.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.69,0.69,188.5%