NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	3.1 [1121]		MVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): +8.3%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	1.1 [1187]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -8.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	17	71%	0.12	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Obinna Ekezie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gerard King	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	7	81%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	17	61%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	17	35%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.09	10	46%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	64%	0.06	1	-0.00	9	78%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Allan Houston	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	90%	0.10	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	11	52%	-0.00	3	-0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	27.5	15.6	28.2	2.4	0.0	100.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +18.7%

NYK +12.9%

WAS -1.8%

NYK +17.1%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.5	100.0	117.0	100.9
season	15.2	16.4		98.6	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.2		96.6	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.0	15.6	15.9	14.8	15.8
NYK	15.8	16.3	18.4	17.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	18	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-21	26	14.9	16.1	-1.17	16.5	17.3	-0.76
Michael Smith	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-15	14	15.7	15.9	-0.10	18.7	16.2	2.46
Obinna Ekezie	17	19	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-6	-4	18.2	15.2	3.01	16.9	17.1	-0.25
Felipe Lopez	23	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-10	4	19.7	14.4	5.33	16.8	17.2	-0.42
Calvin Booth	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-10	4	15.1	16.6	-1.47	16.5	17.7	-1.18
Richard Hamilton	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.2	16.8	-1.61	16.6	17.9	-1.39
Gerard King	34	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-10	4	16.2	15.6	0.59	17.9	16.5	1.37
Chris Whitney	70	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	1	-18	15.3	17.8	-2.42	17.5	15.5	2.01
Juwan Howard	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	2	-20	15.7	16.4	-0.71	16.5	19.2	-2.73
Tyrone Nesby	75	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	-1	-14	15.6	17.2	-1.57	17.3	16.1	1.19

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	62	63	0.47	0.04	0.43	-0.18	22	-6	28	16.8	17.8	-0.96	16.6	13.7	2.85
Kurt Thomas	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.08	17	-1	18	16.7	17.6	-0.96	15.8	15.9	-0.12
Larry Johnson	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	8	0	17.5	16.0	1.58	15.5	16.7	-1.29
Marcus Camby	59	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	2	12	17.1	17.0	0.14	16.3	14.9	1.45
Charlie Ward	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.09	12	4	8	16.0	18.1	-2.09	16.5	15.2	1.33
Erick Strickland	49	47	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.27	-1	17	-18	17.1	17.1	0.07	14.8	17.0	-2.15
Chris Childs	46	44	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	12	-8	18.1	16.0	2.09	15.2	16.5	-1.33
Latrell Sprewell	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	6	4	17.4	16.5	0.95	15.7	16.1	-0.43
Lavor Postell	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.8	17.2	-1.37	16.0	15.8	0.20
Travis Knight	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	15.8	17.2	-1.37	16.0	15.8	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
MIA 71, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.3%
POR 79, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.1%