NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	83		Excitement	7.6 [298]		MVP	Chris Gatling (CLE): +7.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	88		Comeback	3.1 [641]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -24.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Gatling	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.02	-0.00	11	75%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mihm	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.01	14	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	50%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.03	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	15	50%	-0.00	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	7	65%	0.01	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Jim Jackson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.16	-0.06	-0.02	9	37%	0.02	6	-0.21	1	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	12	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Scott Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	11	27%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	20	52%	0.11	6	-0.20	8	87%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25	-0.24	-0.20	-0.06	-0.02	17	26%	-0.18	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.0	29.7	15.0	24.2	2.5	32.4	128.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -18.1%

MIL +14.0%

MIL +27.5%

MIL +23.0%

MIL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.5	90.2	95.7	100.9
season	15.3	14.9		98.4	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	14.4	15.1	16.1	15.0
MIL	16.9	15.6	14.9	18.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	27	26	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-10	15	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.7	16.2	0.51
Chris Gatling	52	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-12	19	15.1	14.8	0.32	17.0	15.4	1.59
Jim Jackson	66	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-12	19	14.7	15.6	-0.89	16.7	15.4	1.29
Larry Robinson	2	3	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	0	-5	23.5	14.8	8.71	9.3	16.6	-7.23
Lamond Murray	77	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.9	15.6	-0.74	16.7	14.2	2.53
Cedric Henderson	37	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	9	-23	15.3	14.8	0.53	15.1	17.2	-2.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	59	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	5	-15	14.6	15.6	-0.93	15.4	17.9	-2.42
Chris Mihm	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.2	1.01	16.5	15.9	0.61
Andre Miller	71	70	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	3	-11	15.2	14.4	0.77	16.5	15.8	0.73

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	81	80	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.30	8	-3	11	15.5	22.3	-6.75	14.7	16.7	-1.94
Glenn Robinson	71	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-4	13	16.2	16.8	-0.56	15.2	14.2	0.93
Tim Thomas	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.24	6	-1	7	16.0	17.1	-1.11	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Scott Williams	48	46	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	-8	21	15.8	16.9	-1.16	15.2	14.7	0.48
Sam Cassell	70	71	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	5	-5	17.8	11.7	6.10	15.4	13.7	1.64
Ervin Johnson	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.38	-5	10	-15	16.6	16.0	0.52	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Lindsey Hunter	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	3	-1	15.2	16.9	-1.74	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Jason Caffey	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	9	-13	17.8	15.5	2.33	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Jerome Kersey	10	10	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	15.9	16.4	-0.48	14.6	15.0	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 108, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.67,0.65,0.83,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,1,1	92.7%
UTA 80, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.91,1	92.1%
MIL 80, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.46,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.96,0.89,0.97,0.99,1	91.8%