NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	77		Excitement	6.5 [485]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +15.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.4 [851]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): -25.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Mike Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Amaechi	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.03	26	43%	-0.06	4	-0.13	9	67%	-0.04
Pat Garrity	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.12	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.11	-0.08	0.06	19	47%	-0.12	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.08	0.06	14	76%	0.23	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.01	8	44%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Mark Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	-0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.0	27.1	15.6	25.3	1.8	28.1	127.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +65.6%

ORL -2.7%

ORL -22.9%

MIL +4.3%

MIL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	15.5	79.4	94.7	100.9
season	14.6	14.9		101.6	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.8		102.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.0	13.5	16.0	17.1	15.1
MIL	13.1	16.0	16.7	14.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Amaechi	50	49	0.33	-0.83	1.15	0.00	11	-23	34	14.3	15.9	-1.53	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Darrell Armstrong	81	78	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	14.3	18.7	-4.42	15.1	15.2	-0.19
Tracy McGrady	85	83	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.5	19.2	-4.68	14.9	16.8	-1.95
Bo Outlaw	18	17	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.5	15.2	-0.69	16.1	14.9	1.18
Michael Doleac	71	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-4	-4	15.9	12.9	2.97	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Mike Miller	75	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	2	-16	15.0	15.1	-0.10	15.2	14.6	0.61
Monty Williams	36	34	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	16.7	14.1	2.64	15.3	15.0	0.31
Troy Hudson	21	20	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	0	-12	15.6	14.9	0.71	15.9	14.9	1.02
Pat Garrity	48	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	0	-12	15.7	14.5	1.20	15.8	14.4	1.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	52	53	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.06	24	-12	36	15.8	14.3	1.51	15.3	14.8	0.45
Ray Allen	80	83	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-2	16	15.1	14.8	0.36	15.4	13.2	2.16
Ervin Johnson	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-5	22	15.7	14.3	1.34	16.3	13.5	2.78
Lindsey Hunter	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	3	6	16.6	13.7	2.88	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Scott Williams	30	31	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	1	10	15.8	14.8	0.99	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Glenn Robinson	69	72	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	8	-4	15.0	15.4	-0.47	14.8	15.9	-1.10
Sam Cassell	68	71	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	11	-10	14.2	17.3	-3.11	14.5	16.5	-1.91
Mark Pope	30	30	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.04	-8	20	-28	13.2	16.0	-2.74	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Jason Caffey	42	44	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	24	-36	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.8	15.3	-0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.68,0.86,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	93.2%
WAS 64, CHI 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%
DET 94, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.0%