NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	71		Excitement	4.9 [817]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +5.1%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.2 [1227]		LVP	Corey Benjamin (CHI): -17.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	5	38%	-0.00	2	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	2	17%	-0.01	3	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dragan Tarlac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	13	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	4	40%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	14	52%	0.01	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	12	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
A.J. Guyton	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khalid El-Amin	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	9	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.00	13	33%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	21	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	9	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	6	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	43%	-0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	61%	0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.4	25.5	16.3	27.3	1.8	26.5	128.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.1%

SAC +0.4%

SAC +16.1%

SAC +0.8%

SAC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	13.1	15.5	72.4	102.0	100.9
season	16.4	14.4		95.2	103.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.8	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.2	15.9	18.1	16.2	16.3
SAC	13.1	14.7	12.4	12.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	6	7	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-26	23	16.2	16.3	-0.18	14.3	13.0	1.33
Jamal Crawford	28	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.18	-8	-21	13	14.0	17.3	-3.32	12.1	13.4	-1.35
Dalibor Bagaric	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.41	-18	-11	-7	16.7	16.2	0.46	11.5	13.7	-2.22
A.J. Guyton	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-17	5	16.9	16.0	0.95	13.9	12.5	1.41
Khalid El-Amin	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-20	11	17.7	15.7	2.05	12.8	13.2	-0.31
Marcus Fizer	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.22	-16	-13	-3	15.9	16.8	-0.87	12.3	13.9	-1.59
Corey Benjamin	46	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-11	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.35	11.9	14.2	-2.35
Metta World Peace	60	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-16	3	16.8	15.6	1.28	14.2	11.4	2.86
Dragan Tarlac	59	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.11	-14	-15	1	15.8	17.1	-1.31	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Ron Mercer	71	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-17	5	16.3	16.5	-0.25	13.7	11.4	2.27
Elton Brand	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.22	-22	-7	-15	16.7	15.4	1.36	13.5	11.9	1.60

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.13	23	6	17	12.4	14.0	-1.55	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Doug Christie	65	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.09	21	8	13	12.7	13.7	-1.02	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Chris Webber	66	67	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	11	7	13.2	12.8	0.31	16.3	16.5	-0.26
Hedo Turkoglu	40	40	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.35	27	2	25	12.0	13.8	-1.78	17.1	15.8	1.37
Jason Williams	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	15	-1	12.6	13.7	-1.07	16.0	16.9	-0.87
Bobby Jackson	39	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.38	15	14	1	13.7	12.6	1.07	16.9	16.0	0.87
Lawrence Funderburke	43	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.37	14	15	-1	13.3	12.9	0.41	17.4	15.5	1.87
Peja Stojakovic	56	56	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	24	-19	13.4	12.6	0.71	15.6	17.3	-1.74
Nick Anderson	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	29	-29	16.6	12.6	3.95	19.8	15.9	3.86
Darrick Martin	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	22	-15	10.7	13.3	-2.62	13.1	16.7	-3.66
Jon Barry	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	31	-33	15.7	12.6	3.11	19.6	15.8	3.77
Scot Pollard	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.14	3	26	-23	13.8	12.8	1.00	15.4	16.7	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, LAL 127	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 86, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DEN 92, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%