NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	7.5 [304]		MVP	Kevin Willis (TOR): +12.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	104		Comeback	2.3 [735]		LVP	Charles Oakley (TOR): -14.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	0.00	11	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	80%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.06	0.04	7	53%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	8	62%	0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	0.02	-0.09	0.03	13	62%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.01	19	57%	-0.05	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Morris Peterson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	8	18%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dell Curry	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	8	37%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	73%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	23	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.03	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.12	6	33%	-0.05
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	5	53%	-0.01	3	-0.13	5	40%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.2	27.5	15.7	25.7	2.0	37.2	134.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.1%

PHI +3.0%

PHI +10.9%

TOR -3.5%

TOR -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.5	105.4	111.8	100.9
season	15.8	15.7		103.7	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.4		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.1	17.4	14.9	16.8	16.1
PHI	16.2	14.5	17.1	12.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	30	28	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.06	6	-12	18	16.7	15.7	0.95	16.5	14.2	2.32
Corliss Williamson	32	33	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-11	16	16.3	15.9	0.44	17.3	13.6	3.66
Kevin Willis	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	2	-10	17.3	15.5	1.79	15.7	14.5	1.15
Dell Curry	18	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-2	-2	15.9	16.1	-0.20	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Mark Jackson	83	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.4	21.7	-6.33	14.7	16.5	-1.78
Antonio Davis	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-5	4	15.4	18.7	-3.24	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Alvin Williams	33	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	8	-22	17.9	15.0	2.92	12.6	16.2	-3.62
Vince Carter	89	89	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.8	21.7	-5.95	14.6	22.2	-7.67
Charles Oakley	75	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	2	-10	16.1	15.9	0.14	14.8	15.6	-0.80

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	55	55	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.32	18	-12	30	13.3	17.3	-3.97	15.7	16.6	-0.98
Allen Iverson	78	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-5	16	14.8	15.7	-0.98	16.1	15.8	0.29
Eric Snow	71	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	14.7	15.7	-1.07	16.0	16.3	-0.38
Theo Ratliff	39	41	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	5	-4	15.4	14.6	0.81	16.9	15.4	1.47
Tyrone Hill	60	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	9	-12	16.5	12.1	4.42	16.7	14.9	1.73
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	-1	8	12.7	15.2	-2.48	14.6	16.2	-1.63
Toni Kukoc	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	1	4	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.1	16.7	-1.59
George Lynch	66	65	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.07	-2	8	-10	15.1	14.4	0.66	16.2	15.7	0.54
Todd MacCulloch	25	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.06	-3	9	-12	15.7	14.6	1.10	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Vernon Maxwell	23	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	13	-20	14.0	15.2	-1.27	16.2	16.0	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 91, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.99,1	93.6%
CLE 83, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
TOR 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	91.9%