NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	9.4 [128]		MVP	Deni Avdija (POR): +84.1%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	20.8 [52]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (POR): -19.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.84	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.84	0.18	0.61	-0.05	22	72%	0.92	5	-0.08	13	62%	-0.04
Jerami Grant	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.23,0.26	0.07	0.19	0.00	12	62%	0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shaedon Sharpe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Matisse Thybulle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Toumani Camara	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.19,-0.19	-0.03	-0.18	-0.01	18	52%	0.08	4	-0.27	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.14	0.09	0.00	10	77%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	7	71%	0.33	2	-0.12	3	33%	-0.12
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.13,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	17	47%	0.08	2	-0.04	13	62%	-0.04
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	29	55%	0.13	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	28.0	0.0	34.9	0.0	42.1	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.8	2.1	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.3%

PHX -11.3%

POR +14.4%

PHX -10.4%

POR +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	14.2	120.0	114.6	113.5
season	13.9	14.4		111.1	112.9
opponent	14.6	14.1		112.1	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.7	13.7	14.9	14.7	15.2
PHX	14.2	17.0	13.9	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	88	90	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.47	9	-5	14	15.1	16.0	-0.87	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Toumani Camara	81	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.44	5	-1	6	15.2	15.3	-0.11	15.1	13.9	1.25
Deni Avdija	95	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.2	0.0	15.19	14.9	0.0	14.93
Kris Murray	80	80	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-4	12	15.6	13.0	2.60	15.0	14.7	0.29
Jrue Holiday	92	92	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	4	-4	15.1	17.3	-2.21	15.0	13.2	1.75
Shaedon Sharpe	92	93	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	0	4	15.4	9.0	6.39	15.2	6.7	8.53
Matisse Thybulle	53	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	7	-10	16.1	14.0	2.13	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Scoot Henderson	34	35	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.02	8	-4	12	14.5	15.6	-1.07	16.4	14.1	2.27
Donovan Clingan	68	68	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	-3	10	15.5	14.4	1.04	15.9	12.5	3.43
Robert Williams III	94	94	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.08	-1	5	-6	15.3	4.0	11.31	15.1	6.0	9.12

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Dunn	51	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.93	16.0	14.3	1.67
Dillon Brooks	84	84	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-5	6	15.3	12.2	3.15	15.3	14.4	0.93
Oso Ighodaro	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	1	-6	14.8	15.4	-0.63	15.7	13.3	2.38
Collin Gillespie	76	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.23	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.9	0.03	15.5	13.8	1.70
Mark Williams	70	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	6	-16	15.8	12.6	3.22	14.7	16.5	-1.75
Devin Booker	95	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.43	-6	2	-8	15.1	2.0	13.06	15.1	18.0	-2.87
Jalen Green	77	77	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	1	-6	15.3	13.3	2.01	15.1	15.6	-0.45
Royce O'Neale	78	76	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	5	-14	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.4	14.4	1.03
Jordan Goodwin	75	75	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	4	-12	15.5	13.0	2.41	14.9	16.4	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.81,0.89,0.67,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 115, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.77,0.72,0	90.9%
CHI 118, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.42,0	89.1%
PHI 95, BOS 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.75,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.59,0	88.8%