inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 126 Excitement11.4 [27] MVPTyler Herro (MIA): +54.0%
Charlotte Hornets 127 Comeback52.2 [36] LVPGrant Williams (CHA): -14.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0.540,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,0.540.070.47-0.001855%0.592-0.056100%0.25
Andrew Wiggins0.430,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.430.190.250.011869%0.4300.003100%0.03
Norman Powell0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.010.09-0.01961%0.152-0.0400%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.013100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.020.011250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Simone Fontecchio-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011443%0.051-0.07250%-0.01
Pelle Larsson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00455%0.032-0.07367%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.16,0.16,-0.060.13-0.170.012458%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Coby White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.16,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.090.36-0.001563%0.491-0.0400%0.00
Brandon Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.130.28-0.001768%0.441-0.0200%0.00
Miles Bridges0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.40.400.210.200.011872%0.4000.003100%0.02
LaMelo Ball0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,0.170.17-0.040.240.043145%0.313-0.144100%0.01
Moussa Diabaté0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.02-0.01580%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.00475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Sion James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kon Knueppel0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.100.00-0.011223%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Grant Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.110.00831%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.20.229.60.038.30.041.00.019.20.0
league avg26.41.929.114.229.82.132.82.116.7136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +92.7%
MIA -61.1%
CHA +15.4%
MIA -2.3%
CHA +5.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHANBAMIACHANBA
this game14.716.214.2122.3124.5113.5
season12.915.1114.9116.9
opponent14.114.5112.6112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA13.715.014.216.414.014.7
CHA16.716.317.115.714.316.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell86850.55-1.051.610.521-2314.714.9-0.1716.813.33.49
Andrew Wiggins93900.21-0.710.930.210-1114.814.20.6016.116.8-0.71
Bam Adebayo2726-0.08-0.420.350.04-43-713.515.2-1.6516.216.20.03
Kel'el Ware8582-0.11-0.390.290.10-76-1315.411.63.8616.514.91.56
Simone Fontecchio4948-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-1110-2114.015.4-1.3316.216.20.08
Pelle Larsson9897-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.29-32-515.09.25.8216.412.44.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.101100-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.430-1114.811.03.8116.121.0-4.89
Tyler Herro9492-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.41-21-314.715.3-0.6515.819.8-3.98
Davion Mitchell9896-0.610.11-0.73-0.41-76-1314.912.22.6716.019.0-2.97

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMelo Ball1021030.390.110.280.3610116.20.016.2114.70.014.74
Miles Bridges991010.360.140.210.302-1316.119.0-2.8814.811.03.81
Brandon Miller78800.150.35-0.200.005-4915.817.5-1.7514.714.8-0.11
Sion James92930.080.42-0.340.37-1011-2116.612.64.0014.615.6-0.95
Grant Williams96970.050.45-0.400.0210116.69.86.7715.27.77.51
Josh Green35360.010.49-0.480.0101-116.715.90.8214.215.0-0.84
Coby White97101-0.290.79-1.07-0.3210116.76.410.3114.814.00.75
Moussa Diabaté9395-0.360.86-1.22-0.3601-116.612.04.6115.29.06.22
Kon Knueppel8587-0.551.05-1.60-0.34-78-1516.713.92.7915.013.11.91
Ryan Kalkbrenner8586-0.661.16-1.83-0.58-34-716.713.73.0014.914.10.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.36,0.13,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.5,0.61,0.79,0.76,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 91, NJN 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.71,0.78,0.58,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.15,0.04,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.67,0.73,189.2%
TOR 90, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.26,0.22,0.06,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.99,187.9%
MEM 107, LAC 1120.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.25,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.68,0.74,187.4%