NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	5.8 [640]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +31.2%
New York Knicks	80		Comeback	1.8 [440]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -21.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.18	0.17	0.04	19	72%	0.34	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.03	5	71%	0.07	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	9	45%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	15	34%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.01	0.06	26	57%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	10	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.07	-0.02	15	33%	-0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	15	46%	-0.10	4	-0.12	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	28.5	19.2	26.6	3.4	38.5	144.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.9%

IND +7.8%

IND +13.8%

IND +7.5%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.2	101.1	87.0	101.7
season	15.4	16.1		106.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	16.9	18.9	15.7	17.1
NYK	13.8	15.0	13.0	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.20	14	-1	15	17.3	16.9	0.39	15.1	12.9	2.28
Travis Best	42	43	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-2	17	16.9	17.3	-0.44	15.3	13.2	2.10
Derrick McKey	35	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	2	9	16.6	17.4	-0.85	15.8	13.3	2.56
Reggie Miller	85	86	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	4	5	17.3	14.3	3.04	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Dale Davis	68	65	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	2	9	17.4	16.3	1.03	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Austin Croshere	32	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	8	-3	15.9	17.7	-1.83	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Jalen Rose	68	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	4	5	16.5	18.7	-2.18	13.1	17.4	-4.30
Mark Jackson	50	49	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	15	-17	17.3	16.9	0.44	13.2	15.3	-2.10
Rik Smits	25	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.03	-7	20	-27	19.0	16.4	2.67	13.3	14.6	-1.31

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	18	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-11	9	16.2	13.7	2.51	16.9	17.1	-0.19
Chris Childs	35	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-8	3	14.2	14.2	-0.06	16.7	17.3	-0.62
Charlie Ward	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-11	9	13.6	15.0	-1.36	18.2	15.8	2.38
Larry Johnson	82	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-3	-7	14.1	14.7	-0.55	16.8	19.7	-2.92
Patrick Ewing	69	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	14.4	13.7	0.62	17.9	14.4	3.53
Latrell Sprewell	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	14.1	15.8	-1.69	17.0	18.0	-0.95
Allan Houston	78	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	13.9	16.0	-2.12	16.9	18.4	-1.57
Marcus Camby	39	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	1	-15	14.8	13.8	1.02	15.9	18.0	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, TOR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.7%
NYK 107, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.47,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.7%
NOK 100, IND 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.4%